That band is oriented and pointed towards this direction. We’ll have to see how that develops on future runs. Probably the east north east motion will cut it off west of here and move it east south east.
Especially up here. We don’t want strong -nao, and we like -pna when there is a little help on the Atlantic side. That’s a good late winter pattern up here.
Still time for either. Doesn’t feel to me like a big enough north shift is coming so yeah 2-4 pita. Maybe not enough to snowblow so could be icy by late week on the driveway. A lot of open area melting today and tonight, but the woods will retain I would think.
You better have at least several inches if you go streaking. Continuing this thought, you will get several inches if you go streaking.
good luck and stay safe!
Somebody gets a very heavy band for a few hours. I don’t think that’s as far north as me, but it wouldn’t surprise me if it was near the New Hampshire border.
Given this, 12z should reflect a more clear outcome, because the short waves are now fully sampled. If there’s going to be any significant north trend, it should happen this afternoon on the models.
You loves those 300 hr op runs especially when they’re warm. Maybe this is one step in the middle of a pattern progression but do you think this is really how it’s going to play out on a larger scale?
There are a whole lot of members back to the west and north along the coast but I don’t know if that’s an indication that they’re going to track closer to the coast or just that they’re slower. Would be great to find a solution that finally gives SNE a real storm all the way to the coast, but also manages to snow on most of us.