Look, obviously I don't really know anything. I just feel like things are jumping around on the models for a reason. I also ask:
1. Does strong confluence/blocking tend to over or under-perform?
2. Do strong vorts tend to over or under-perform?
Plenty of time to trend 1/6-7 and 1/10-12 even though the 1st one won't get up here, it might trend to get a chunk of SNE with accumulating/plowable. We've seen that a million times, and this is where Kevin is right.
I implore all to not succumb to misery just yet.