mahk_webstah

The WPC map was interesting this morning. It had the low inland over CT Tues but then at the elbow Wed at 996. The snow probs were pure NNE with no probs until about the Lakes Region of NH. I guess we need something to force it under a bit more and a high to the north. https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/#

Thats a cool story. First big storm of my life growing up in central Delaware.

I know it sometimes jinxes us, but I like a plowable snow in November. Seems this one might have some legs. Happy to know that though it may moderate, there are signs for cold later in the month and into December. Would be awesome after the incredible fall we've had.

If this pattern repeats....an early season test of the models? GFS the s and e outlier (the more things change the more they remain the same)

glad it is happening late Oct not early. 95-96 the coastal pattern kicked in in early-mid Nov, and 07-08 the pattern kicked in early in Nov, yes?

the serenity prayer is really helpful to the young and the anxious. "...the wisdom to know the difference." Sometimes patience reflects, or brings, wisdom.

The older we get the more patient we are I think. I am enjoying the extended season of being outside in a t-shirt. Leaves peaking now up here and I'd enjoy another week of 60s. On the other hand, we need a hard frost to kill some things and sweeten up my kale and carrots and brussels. Apologies for jinxing, but I kinda think when winter does come it might feature some real cold and a good amount of snow. The pattern should change just at the right time: November.

Philly Philly

It wasn't a total surprise, but it did overperform. The year before we had The Blizzard of '78 with 16 inches...for Dover DE those were the 2 biggest storms of my childhood. In 1983 I was at the University of Florida. But when I came back to Philly I got to experience the all time biggie in 96, which shut down Center City like no other storm. 2003 was great with 18" and then a lot of sleet (they switched the forecast for up to 28" in the city and then the sleet started lol). Other goodies: around a foot in Jan 1987 in a storm that was forecasted 1-3 but then on the early morning accuweather update (with Elliot Abrams) he said that the low was now going insider of Hatteras so we would get 8-12. 2005 had a very good one that was epic up in New England. Oh, and the winter of 93-94 was unparalled with ice. Constant ice storms, and snows that would change to ice. Never saw ice buildup like that in a city. BTW the pic in my profile is my car, on 12th near Pine St in Jan 96. I stuck my glove to look like it was coming out of the window. That night that the big blizzard ended, it cleared out and every st. in CC was clogged with cars. The only traffic was on Broad and then down Market. The streets were filled with people walking in almost 3 ft of snow and no cars anywhere. I had my dog off the leash just walking through the city. It was kinda magical tbh, what with the glistening clean snow and really bright startlit skies.

Don’t tell Jerry

I think it wasn’t forecasted too well in advance. But I remember distinctly an article in the Washington post or maybe the Philadelphia Inquirer from the forecaster he said he had seen the storm six days out because of the set up. I was in Dover Delaware in the jackpot zone with 25 inches. My favorite storm of childhood by far. It was a very cold storm down in Delaware so probably there was a strong west base block that was very suppressive. That was a cold cold February in Delaware

right to the elbow

last minute east trend as usual, Cape under a big threat if it goes in east of providence? However, looks like it slows down at around 39 north which will probably help in terms of lowering intensity. Won't be sailing along at 40 mph straight into the coast with little time to weaken and wind speed enhancement. Just a shiteload of rain.

good starting point...still room to raise 'em

I e bump in qpf, I don’t care what form it’s in

WPC has dropped the heavier qpf south from including us up here to having SNE in the bullseye.

Very happy to see this from WPC for mid-late week. My problem in the garden in early-mid April is that isn't isn't fully thawed or is thick glop. It is June level dry now so bring the rain. Of course it is nice to see the spinach, lettuce, kale pac choi, etc all growing nicely so early.: "Farther north, guidance has noticeably trended upward with respect to rainfall across parts of the East Coast/Northeast Thursday-Friday. Some models suggest moderate to locally heavy rainfall to accompany the cold front/surface low as it traverses the region. Coastal low genesis may also present some maritime/coastal threats across New England late week/next weekend."

Will was on my laptop as the models were coming in.

precipitation in any form, with the exception of large hail stones, would be greatly appreciated.

Oy. If it happens I'm sure I'd love it. But, I'm enjoying the melt out and the warm sunny days.

what is that

Simmuh down now

SPING IS SPINGING!

Bald Silver Daddy?

Bring it! (not the trough)