mahk_webstah

Be nice if we get it to slow down. But that might be for next week

But talking is SECsy

Redeveloper? high end advisory low end warning for most of the region was what I am envisioning in the title of the thread. The kickoff/gate opener to a nice run that follows

Get back in here and clean up your mess!

I had thought originally when I started this thread that this was a redeveloper, not just a straight warm air advection Southwest flow thing. You know, sometimes they lose the original idea, but then come back to it as it gets closer.

48” in less than 12 hours is what danbury New Hampshire had in that December 2020 storm. We got most of our 28 inches in about a six hour period. I think Brian got 34 inches in the storm and Danbury is another 10 miles north if that.

One of the things I watch overtime is the snow totals in the 10 day on Wunderground. I think it’s some sort of compilation of models so it does give you a good sense of trends. For Thursday it’s almost always been between four and 5 inches and it is still there at 4.6. For Sunday it’s gone anywhere from 5 to 7 inches and right now it’s at 5.4. to me, this shows some caution with Sunday, however, there should still should be a solid storm. I think we will vacillate until perhaps Wednesday night or Thursday What’s been interesting about next Tuesday and Wednesday, for what it’s worth, is that it suddenly has jumped to almost 7 inches From about 3 inches overnight.

Less risky when your snowpack is what ours will be by Monday. And with more cold looming

Back to back 3-6 in 3 days is basically 6-12

That is the risk especially for SNE

Well it’s only Tuesday morning

According to GYX this storm has more dynamics but maybe that’s changed. A cold front will cross Thursday night and Friday for a drying trend and cooling trend into Saturday. This cold air will set the stage for the next system that will cross the area late Saturday night and Sunday. Early indications suggest this system will have better dynamics and more moisture to work with that will lead to higher snowfall amounts where precipitation stays mostly snow.

It looks like perfect alley for storm to come up the East Coast or across the Ohio valley and tap the cold air to the north

Yup and you should post that in the February 9 thread

I guess it’s a question of whether it’s gonna tend to correct in one way or another way

Pack ho

Caving to the GFS? Or maybe our compromise, but in favor of the GFS?

I’m not the only one. When you live where I live and you take long walks in the woods every day, and the pack is really something fantastic in the winter. So yes, I like thick long lasting pack. When you live in an urban environment, it’s different. Within two or three days the package is dirty and you just want fresh snow. Also, when you have a good pack out here in the country, even a walk in a 2 inch snowfall feels like you’re in the middle of a big storm

I assume that is a comment about the thread I started. In my defense, you don’t think there should be a thread for an event that is less than a week out with good potential for the whole region… I’m surprised no one else started it. And we could definitely have a Tip type of thread for the 12th which is inside of 10 days and has been a strong signal for several days. I don’t believe the bad juju nonsense about starting threads. That’s just voodoo. You start a thread when there’s a reason.

Well, if some of it liquefies a little bit, doesn’t it freeze into a harder surface? Particularly if it rains a little bit later? I would think it would make the pack last longer, but you are more the expert than me.

Be prepared to not get what you want. sorry for the inconvenience

Soften it up and freeze it hard.

Preachin n teachin

That was all it was supposed to be I think. Somewhere around .5 qpf. But up here it is very good pack builder and thickener. the next one is the door opener for many.