mahk_webstah
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Everything posted by mahk_webstah
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Is this the kind of situation where we get high ratios even if only .3 or .4 qpf? -
the problem is the ENE motion that follows
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looks dry on the long range models no?
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then take 1/10 of George's and you've got your lollies.
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time to bring em down
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That finishes it for many of us.
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you've become magnamomous in your old age, while I am trolling the trolls. Uh oh, I'd better be careful - Pot.
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good call for something to be basically ots, which is what he said, almost 2 days before go time? You can't be serious, he's a troll.
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Well I guess its time to reshuffle the pattern and hope for some luck?
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I think you know where I want it. And I'm willing to share.
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nobody is talking about a deformation band.
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its insane. But somewhere out there is a Miller B pattern just for you...
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This winter is getting really really boring. I think I should visit my Dad in Tampa
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Scooter wins. The rest of us hope
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Do you mean what some of the experience meteorologist were saying yesterday that you were pooh-poohing? Sorry. I’ve been listening to them all along and it looks like this scenario they talked about it while we’re headed to. Are you don’t give up until Will give it up lol, Even though my best case scenario is probably 4 to 6
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Sometimes they come back to what they showed a few days earlier
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The answer to your question is......YES
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based on this run of the NAM?
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Would you be extending that to the other very experienced New England meteorologists who are also on the side of something closer more tucked, more significant etc.? or are you just saying that to a guy who is educated and informed but doesn’t do this for a living?
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don't forget the messenger shuffle...
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Looks like a set up that works for many from NC to Maine. Does the Atlantic high pressure act to slow it down? With that PNA and extreme meridional flow, you would expect a very amplified system, perhaps a very far south Miller B? Is the set up sufficent to bring it north and slow it down?
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Anything can happen obviously, I mean look at the Mid Atlantic today, but this has been modelled for at least 4 days with very little significant wavering. Tip's post at the beginning was a good one about why there will be a storm. WPC has had this as a day 7, then day 6, then day 5, now day 4 event for most of New England. This is probably happening, details tbd, more risk of going inside the coastline than OTS because nothing to push it out. It is a good set up for the interior zones in particular.
