mahk_webstah

I printed out and have in my file his email the night before the January 96 storm. The projected snow totals were so high. He really couldn’t quite believe what he was forecasting. It was a great read if I put my hands on it I’ll take some screenshots and post it on here somewhere

What do you make of the ensembles of the European which show a lot of snow by Monday? Probably close to 10 inches just for you and maybe 13 or 14 for me?

I know it’s been more than 20 years for me. Until 2008 I was in Philly and my screen name was mark in Philly. I think it was 1995 or 96 when I started on that board. I have a memory of a guy named Gary Gray From the DC area and he used to make really long detailed posts and I remember his posts from the blizzard of 96.

New from WPC. One to 2 inch per band but fast moving Farther north into Upstate NY and New England, much of theprecipitation is expected to fall as snow. The intensifying WAAwill result in a band of heavy snow as the resultant 850-700mb fgendrives intense ascent into the DGZ just above. This will cause aburst of snow lifting SW to NE Thursday, first in the Poconos, thenall points northeast, including New York City and Boston. Snowfallrates within this burst could reach 1-2"/hr as reflected by the WPCprototype snowband tool and HREF probabilities, but rapidtranslation of this band northeast will somewhat limit totalaccumulations. Still, substantial impacts are likely, and WPCprobabilities are high (>70%) for more than 4" of snow in thehigher terrain from the Adirondacks into the Greens and Whites,with lesser accumulations likely in the lower elevations.

SOUKD some of us knew different

Your friend Kuchera is always welcome here!!!

It would certainly help me manage my energy during the day. And then the storm should be over by the time the Super Bowl starts.

Having the cowboys suck year after year is helping!

I suppose it depends on how you define big dogs but next week could bring a pretty big snowstorm

From NYC thread. This shows where we’re headed. Well over an inch for most of New England and the Wednesday storm isn’t finished yet. WPC tends to be a little conservative. we are stepping into a fantastic few weeks of winter. We deserve it!

The only one that seems similar to me is PD2. That was a week low with very strong over running with a jet that was five standard deviations I think. February 83 and January 1996 were Miller A

DC to QC fredericksburg to Fredericton Annapolis to Machias region wide in a broad way

Don’t know that I’ve seen a mean like this up here. That is astounding. 24+

The euro has had a strong signal for days on this. My wunderground snow forecast has always been between five and 8 inches. Now it’s at 7.1. The Tuesday signal has jumped around wildly between two and 8 inches.

A miller B or Swfe redeveloper with nothing to slow it down is probably capped at 6-10 maybe lollies 12 I would think. this isn’t supposed to be the season’s big storm. It’s supposed to be the first good region wide event with high-end advisories and low and warnings that opens the gate to a good stretch which probably will include one larger storm I would think or two.

A nice tidbit from GYX. When banding is mentioned it’s usually a good thing. Guidance is in good agreement for the next system this weekend, and have raised PoPs to go along with this. Thing to watch as this event nears the mid to near term later is where banding may develop to possibly enhance snowfall. For now the fgen band appears to progress north, but if the storm takes a flatter track, this may linger or pivot a bit longer. Overall, ensembles show good confidence in another measurable snow event, but amounts will need refinement over the coming days.

That’s why, even though those really cold Swfe only produce 12:1 at best

Good

Well but maybe ratios are better for the 1st couple hours? Super cold at the start although I know ratios aren’t necessarily about the air temperature. but 3” is a win

Grabbed from MA forum. Alleviates suppression concern for early week. Who is gonna start the thread for what will be 3rd and most widespread event over a 6 day period?! We are starting a great run.

That would be a good outcome for here, especially given that Sunday might be a little beefier.

Just a matter of how far north the good stuff gets.

overrunner like PD2? How anomalous is the jet? That was a great storm in Philly

It is the most perfect thread title ever. Perfect. Everyone knows and they’re saying there’s never been one as great as this one.

I think we need to decide who’s gonna fire up the February 12-13 thread. A week out