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mahk_webstah

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Everything posted by mahk_webstah

  1. This map shows what I am trying to communicate. The big deform far west, but then the band over south central NH which would be the 6 hour qpf bomb followed by some pivoting while the area towards Ray dryslots.
  2. I am used to big defom bands in VT and NYS. That seems inevitable with this one. But still, if it trends east a bit more and head over the Cape, I would think the big nw to se very heavy band that Chris describes will start to pivot/rotate while areas s and e will dry slot. Is that scenario reasonably possible?
  3. 2 areas of big wins will be the deform and the pivot. we just don't know who gets them. I volunteer and behalf of myself, Brian, Gene and Jeff.
  4. Depending upon the ultimate track, somebody will get the thumpity dumpity, but then also a pivot while those to the s and e get slotted. And then there will be deformation way way n and w. the 12+ will in the pivot I would think, yes?
  5. What I really mean is that to assess the current status quo we compromise gefs and eps with a lean towards other model output. Every 6 or 12 we shift the status quo using these guidelines.
  6. Probably a compromise eps gefs is the best status quo. With a lean towards the other guidance
  7. probably why the WPC snow progs for 4+ look good all the way from VA up to EMA
  8. Gonna b rough down in jersey. You should discuss it with them so as to provide comfort
  9. thanks to Will and others for discussing that in the last few minutes. Made me feel better.
  10. this is a key that DT talks about alot. Seems that we should watch the better shorter term guidance to see how it trends with the tilt of trough.
  11. do you really want to "catch a break" 5 days out? I find that scary. Possibly the west trend is maxed and it'll settle and in and drift east.
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