This map shows what I am trying to communicate. The big deform far west, but then the band over south central NH which would be the 6 hour qpf bomb followed by some pivoting while the area towards Ray dryslots.
I am used to big defom bands in VT and NYS. That seems inevitable with this one. But still, if it trends east a bit more and head over the Cape, I would think the big nw to se very heavy band that Chris describes will start to pivot/rotate while areas s and e will dry slot. Is that scenario reasonably possible?
Depending upon the ultimate track, somebody will get the thumpity dumpity, but then also a pivot while those to the s and e get slotted. And then there will be deformation way way n and w. the 12+ will in the pivot I would think, yes?
What I really mean is that to assess the current status quo we compromise gefs and eps with a lean towards other model output. Every 6 or 12 we shift the status quo using these guidelines.