Interstate

Looks pretty messy on the latest radar image

It is bitter sweet watching the eye collapse right in front of our eyes.

Yeah I wonder if Melissa will be able to regroup once it gets back over water. I know that wind shear is going to become a factor too.

You can already see the effects that land is having on the structure of the hurricane... The south side is already eroding. It will be very interesting to see how Melissa holds up across Jamaica.

Looks like there was just a nice gravity wave.

It is moving now... I think it makes landfall before noon.

You can see the wobbling in the eyewall merger and then watch it become perfect again. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-W_Caribbean-13-48-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

After being stationary for a bit... Melissa is now moving N/NE

It started to move NW but now on the latest loop it even looks like it is moving SW.

Still moving due west for the most part.

Looks stationary to me.

She is really getting going now

Anyone else worried that NWS is relying on Google’s DeepMind model too much.

Gfs/icon still east of envelope.

Well it seems like the envelope is moving east some. The GFS/Icon has just the east part getting hit. We will just have to wait and see. I also said might.

Looks like Jamaica might be spared.

000 WTNT63 KNHC 241630 TCUAT3 Tropical Storm Melissa Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132025 1230 PM EDT Fri Oct 24 2025 ...AIRCRAFT DATA INDICATES THAT MELISSA IS STRENGTHENING... Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft data indicates that Melissa is strengthening, and maximum sustained winds are now estimated to be 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. The minimum pressure from aircraft dropsonde data has dropped to 999 mb (29.50 inches). SUMMARY OF 1230 PM EDT...1630 UTC...INFORMATION --------------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.6N 74.5W ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM SE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA ABOUT 250 MI...405 KM SW OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 105 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES $$ Forecaster Papin

37.8 for the low here in 21057

I remember seeing something like this on the Ens a couple of weeks ago too.

I do not know how it could keep major status let alone hurricane status coming that close to Jamaica.

Will the wind ever stop?

If the Euro is right... Jamaica would be no more.

41.2 here for the low I must be in a heat island because others around me are reporting 39 and I am up to 42

It is comical looking over this board for a rainstorm. I cannot wait until Winter.

I see we are already in midwinter form