mississaugasnow

haha trying to bring some positivity. I still think far WNY has a good chance to go above double digits. But Ill admit the dry slot for far WNY and Niagara Region here is starting to creep into my mind. I got owned from GHD storm and that has left a pessimism scar haha

Ya, though I'm more concerned with the dry slot now and I live 50 miles west of Buffalo haha. I still think Buffalo 14.4" Niagara (northern) 17.8" Rochester 13.3" Hamilton-14.1" Toronto (YYZ) 10.2" my guess is Northern Niagara County and Northern Niagara Region in Ontario are the jackpot for this storm.

Yep, I'll be following the reports out of Indiana, Ohio and Michigan. They will give us some idea on what to expect here. Though unlikely, I might have to dive into the records to see if YYZ or YHM has ever had two snowstorms drop 30cm+ within days of each other? I think 99 might have but I forget how many days passed between storms.

Ya, Im almost right in the jackpot zone. The QPF maps keep the best just east of me. Since I've seen this play out before (worst hands down was GHD storm) I have tempered my expectations a bit for my backyard. 15cm and this storm gets a solid C+ because it would be within a few cms of the biggest storm of the year for me. 20cm B 25cm and above A+ Also tough to get really disappointed with 15-20cm (I dont see it being less for Hamilton-Haldimand-Niagara, do you guys?) with a winter storm watch most likely being issued 24 hours after this one ends.

lol is this a real comment or trolling. Im loving these photos and observations from Texas. 1" of snow is a lot for the southern parts. In this current thinking you might as well not get excited for many of your storms. Northern Michigan-Buffalo-Watertown and parts of Southern Ontario (Canada where I live) routinely see 6-12" snowstorms and daily life continues, parts of Northern Michigan and Muskoka dont get excited until you start talking 1-3 feet and they routinely have 3-4 feet on the ground from November-March. So in your theory they should be laughing at you for shutting down schools, making the nightly news, creating a 100 page thread for a 8-12" storm that will melt in 2-3 days.

some of the models are starting to pick up on some legit wind gusts on the escarpment. 45-50mph with 8-14" should make for some pretty big drifts.

As a kid I would try to put all the snow in two piles. One at the top of the driveway and one at the bottom. I currently live in a townhouse now so instead I only go one direction and thats my tiny 30 foot by 5 foot piece of "front lawn". The wife thinks its funny that I do that and its noticeable to everyone in our neighbourhood haha. Everyone else has uneven snow piles but ours is already about 3 feet tall by 5 feet wide. Excited to see what happens with this storm haha.

One of the rare storms recently. Snowfall Warnings for 6-10" for most of Southern Ontario and a Winter Storm Warning for Niagara, Haldimand, Hamilton. Calling for 8-12" where I live in the warning with up to 40mph gusts. Now Im getting pretty pumped. Winter storm likely Monday into Tuesday giving 20 to 30 cm of snow. Two rounds of precipitation are expected with this storm. The first one is expected to begin early Monday morning with 5 to 10 cm likely by afternoon. The precipitation may diminish in intensity during the afternoon, but another round of even heavier snow is expected to move in Monday evening and persist until Tuesday morning. An additional 10 to 20 cm is likely. Northeast winds gusting to 60 km/h will result in very poor visibility in blowing snow. Even higher amounts may be possible in some locations due to extra moisture coming off Lake Ontario. Locally higher amounts may also occur on the higher elevations of the escarpment. Consider postponing non-essential travel until conditions improve. Surfaces such as highways, roads, walkways and parking lots may become difficult to navigate due to accumulating snow. Visibility may be suddenly reduced at times in heavy snow.

St.Louis, Chicago, Indianapolis, Cincinnati, Columbus, Cleveland, Toledo, Detroit, Toronto all look to get 4"+ from this with some of those cities also looking at 8"+ Pretty weird thing to complain that its missing most of this board when its one of the most spread the wealth storms this winter. Probably should have started off with the fact that its missing your backyard so you don't care for it instead of trying to say its a nothing storm for the sub.

whats also crazy is that almost all of Louisiana and Mississippi under winter storm warnings as well. Add it all together with Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Tennessee, Louisiana, Mississippi and parts of Alabama this is a storm that will go down in the record books for them as I dont know the last time they've all been under warnings at the same time. Crazy thing is once this departs down there Monday evening, a lot of those same areas go right back to winter storm watch for Wednesday and Thursday

Environment Canada has issued a Winter Storm Watch for Niagara and Haldimand. 8-12" two day total with gusty winds. The immediate lakeshore of GTA south of 401 also now looks to be in a much better position for at least widespread 5-8"

Hmm, probably someone on a power trip. Ive heard teachers say much worse but thats also 15ish years ago now since I was in high school

hahaha it's how its spelt up here. Teusday, Colour, Favour ect.. Thankfully we can edit on this forum so I will be fixing that. Edit: Wow I need another coffee. For some reason I thought I did that mistake because I saw Toronto in the post.

Burlington-Grimsby did well yesterday and this morning. The band and Lake Enhancement tonight is supposed to allow Oakville-Toronto to get 3-6". Im expecting another 1-3" once the last batch of light snow moves in this evening.

whats everyones thoughts on the Canadian side haha. Ive been following this but didnt think it would be much more than 1-3" today, Monday, Tuesday, Thursday. Still down with that amount but you guys are making it sound like winter storm watches will be posted soon? some of those maps show the GTA getting some stupid amounts haha

I don't know, maybe KW. But GTA/Niagara keep seeing snow every other day and will most likely go 30 days with over 1" of snow on the ground. No big storms worthy of a winter storm warning but consistent cold and another 6-10" (from 3 storms) in the next week is a pretty good. If everything comes together YYZ and YHM should have over 12" on the ground. I might be a bit biased as this is my ideal winter weather (ideally we get a big dog but not its not a deal breaker). Cold, snowy February with consistent snow cover. Ideally we have snow on the ground until 1st week of March (seems likely) and then hopefully winters back is broken and by mid-late march we start getting 50s-60s and sun. Would love an early spring for once in the past 5-6 years

We are similar to Chicago-Milwaukee. Its normally mixed with system snow so in big storms its not unheard of for Hamilton-Toronto to get 12-20" while everyone else gets 4-8" I remember in high school I think 2004 I woke up to widespread 16-22" in southern Mississauga from Lake Effect. Though it is rare since I still vividly remember that storm haha

Yep, Burlington saw 16" today. Another widespread 4-8" so they that area should get close to 2 feet. Right now the tail end of the LES is hitting me in Caledonia Ontario. It was only supposed to be cloudy tonight but so far 2" of very fluffy snow. I think you guys in Northern Niagara are getting scrapped by it now as well? Looks like Youngstown, Wilson, Olcott? Do we have anyone up there?

Yep, I live about 5 miles south of YHM (Caledonia), and as you guys know every mile counts with LES. Im starting to get excited though that the western GTA is looking at 4-8"+ of snow Saturday.

haha you guys are a tough bunch to please.

I too like seeing 1/100000 risks. I don't walk near any river or lake since ive recently found out people have been known to slip and fall in. Theres no need to walk near a body of water when there is a perfectly good high school track to walk around. haha sorry I had too. Just dont take it if you dont want, but saying no reason for anyone under 65 is why I sent that sarcastic response.

I live along the Grand River in Haldimand and its weird to have to follow River flooding updates (originally from the city where this wasn't really a big issue) Bad flood last year from the early January rainstorm. https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/kitchener-waterloo/grca-flood-warning-entire-grand-river-watershed-1.5424109

Maybe a bit early for this, but I'm wondering what type of flooding potential this pattern is causing. With snow cover building up fast across most of the midwest and Great Lakes and lakes and rivers freezing we could be looking at a potentially pretty severe flood threat. Im thinking because its already February 8th and the pattern sticks around for another 10 days minimum, even just average in 10ish days is starting to get into the 40s for the southern part of the sub. Anyone have any idea how far south lakes and rivers are frozen?

geography and inland. Thats why coastal NC all the way up to coastal Virginia has vegetation more similar to the south instead of Nashville. Even Washington and Philly have a much warmer climate overall compared to the lower mid west even though they are similar 40N.

First 0F or -18C of the season up on Hamilton mountain. Even Toronto is approaching its coldest night of the season so far with 8F or -13C at 10pm. Nothing like you guys out in the midwest but tonights cold is a bit better than what I expected.