mississaugasnow

I completely wrote off this storm and yet Toronto is back in depending on the model.

well I honestly gave up any hope of snow with this one so now I'm intrigued. Since GTA is riding the line Im also good for a 50 mile shift SE to get Buffalo-Niagara and maybe even Rochester into it.

noticed the same thing here. 38F and light rain. This is snowpack is taking a beating but still about a solid 4-6" on the ground. This last little bit will take some time to melt.

A lot can change but at this point ive accepted the snow will be gone soon. If we can sneak out this storm ill be impressed and fully done with winter haha

One more big time cold snap this weekend followed by warmth that will still take some time to melt the snow. I get the wanting winter to hang on but where we live just isnt far enough north. Toronto is a few days away from when the quick changes will overwhelm winter anyways. Toronto bottoms out with average high of 28F January 30th roughly, bounces around there for two weeks and todays average is 30F in 6 weeks the average high is 46F so winter is now battling an almost 3F average rise per week.

I dont know about Syracuse winter temps but I find your area and Buffalo similar to Erie PA. Tons of snow but retaining it compared to other snowbelts in the Great Lakes is much more difficult. Muskoka, Kincardine-Owen Sound and UP get dumped on, are much further north and have normally frozen lakes a warm front has to go over. You guys are wide open for gulf air to surge north. My cottage for example in Muskoka is 32F and Im at 42F. Downside is those places get even more screwed in about 6 weeks haha. It could be 60F at my house but 40F and heavy fog up in Muskoka

lol seems like an interesting battle will brew in here. Im a big time snowpack guy and even with these brief warm ups the snowpack in WNY and GTA will be around for another 7-10 days minimum. Which historically has been when retaining snow on the ground starts to become difficult. March snow events where it snows 3-5" but gets blasted in the 28F and sun aren't interesting to me. So in the next few weeks I switch to big time rain events or big time 6-10" snow storms

Im actually hoping for that as well.

By Mid August I start noticing that overnight lows that once stayed consistently above 60F are now mid 50s and the far northern parts of Canada/Mountains start getting the first sub 40F. I cheer/day dream about the upcoming fall in mid august when the averages quickly start diving. Long story short Winter-November 15th to February 15th in my mind, Spring February 15th-May 15th, Summer May 15th-August 15th and Fall August 15th-November 15th Its a weird way to look at it but at the start of each of those dates, even though firmly entrenched in their season the first signs of the upcoming one begin appearing.

I dont believe such a thing exists

aside from a freak snowstorm in mid April, spring was nice in GTA. 50s and low 60s dominated the second half of March with I believe the hottest day getting to 70F back to back days March 24th and March 25th. Which is only about 5-6 weeks away

Looking back at last years photos to judge snowbank size haha. Last year mid February was packed with snow and created massive snowbanks. The thaw started almost immediately though and by end of February my piles were diminishing fast. March 13th I took the last photo of a tiny remnant baking in the sun haha. By March 20th Toronto had 7 days in a row around 55-65F with a severe thunderstorm warning I know everyone wants winter to win out but now we're getting to the point in the calendar where changes will start pretty fast.

I’m getting ready for hopefully a warm spring. One more storm but then let’s get going haha

With over 6 inches of snow depth coming up to nearly 4 weeks in GTA I’m nearly over winter Ideally one more storm/cold outbreak but I’d love for 50s to start asap. I love Morchs haha

Nice! I have about 11" on the ground now. the last 5" though is pure cement. Last night during a walk you could still feel like the slush under the dry powder. After looking at the long range I think its almost a lock that Toronto and Buffalo have snow cover for all of February

Just wondering how much you got and how much you guys have on the ground now?

I wonder how hard its snowing right on the edge north of toronto. 15F here now

As much as I’d love for Toronto to see that, that has about a 5% chance of happening and would be a surprise snowstorm for them lol more likely trace-2” (trace for northern suburbs, 2” for those along Lake Ontario)

All I need is a 15-20 mile shift NW so let’s see. 3.5” from wave 1 1” all day from consistent light snow let’s see what falls from now-tomorrow morning

One of the local mets on twitter I follow said winter forecasting is much tougher compared to summer for a public perception point of view. In a heat wave only us weenies here will say hit 88F not 90F while the average Joe just says damn its hot. Rain is also much tougher to gauge. Ive never heard a buddy say wow only quarter inch of rain when they called for half inch haha. Everyone knows though if you made the slightly wrong call in winter.

Switched over to mix of rain-snow and 33F. I’m in that blob just north of Lake Erie between Simcoe and Buffalo up towards Hamilton. Enjoy NY! This is definitely rare storm category where most of the state cashs in!

If you check out radar scope it’s starting to look like Youngstown NY will transition before Hamilton Mountain (mount hope) throwing in the towel with this one now. I’ll come back and update when snow starts but I’m expecting storm total about 2” or 5cm. Probably biggest bust I’ve seen since I’ve moved here 4 years ago

How’s the snow out in the city? Temperature has actually risen last 15 minutes here on the escarpment. 36F and heavy rain just outside Hamilton. EC tweeted they have to lower amount because mild air is hanging around longer

This is the heaviest rain I’ve seen in a while. I’m interested in all types weather/weather related issues so this will be interesting in a few weeks regarding spring flooding along the grand river. The snow pack seems to be absorbing most. Lost an inch though in the last 2 hours so down to 4” but it’s like mashed potatoes

North Etobicoke if I remember correctly?