terdferguson

A great point. Another way to say it would be in the history of the US there's never been this many tornadoes in this amount of time in this small ofan area. Absolutely can make the argument that this was the number one tornado outbreak of all time. Unfortunately I happened to be right in the middle of it yesterday as I evacuated from my home in St Pete and drove my family across to Stuart on the east coast. A three and a half hour drive turned into a 7-hour drive of dodging tornadoes. Our phones were buzzing constantly with tornado warnings, we came upon fresh tornado damage in multiple locations, saw home debris falling from the sky 100 yards from our car, power poles snapped in half laying on the highway, demolished homes, a destroyed gas station, etc. Felt like I was in the movie twister, it was absolutely insane.

There is a lot of dry air to the NW of Milton. That is forecast to wrap around and impact the storm in the future. Perhaps it is already starting to have an impact. Look at how the nw part of the CDO is squished and slightly eroded. A lot of talk about this the storm reintensifying to yesterdays levels, but that kind of extreme intensification takes an absolutely perfect environment. Will Milton have that going forward?

Correct. We had 6.5' here in St. Pete and more like 8' out at the beaches.

Tide gauge in upper Tampa Bay still tanking.

Current negative tide in St Pete. Tide is "incoming" until 3.

Coffeepot bayou in St Pete.

My Uncle lives in port Charlotte on the water. He has been in the eye of hurricane Camille (pass Christian, Ms), eye of Charley, and now Ian. He stayed.

We have had a VERY rainy summer in St. Pete. Where I live I can probably count the days that it hasn't rained in the last 30 or 40 days on one hand. It more or less has rained every day.

If we got that kind of rain on top of 4' of water, then Shore Acres would be screwed. They would definitely have water in houses. My kids go to school over there and I have to drive through saltwater on any high tide this time of year.

Hi SnowGoose. I live in NE St. Pete. 5 blocks from the bay. I wouldn't be too worried about that. A 3-4 surge here wouldn't be a huge deal as we've experienced that a number of times over the years. The normal flooding places like Shore Acres would have problems and some homes would be damaged but not too much and not something we haven't already seen before. Overall that would be a huge win for our area compared to any landfall to our north.

Unreal how quickly the inner core dissolved on radar. I'm in St. Petersburg and we're in what should be a very strong inner band and it's a total non event outside right now. Little rain and a little wind, but nothing to write home about.

I'm in St. Petersburg. Looking like that jog should put the heaviest most inner band just to the west of us.

We are having terrible red tide in Tampa Bay. It's really widespread....I've seen tons of dead fish at downtown St. Pete, Indian Rocks Beach, Tierra Verde and in the upper bay near Tampa. If we get a storm surge here it could flush the bay and in theory this may help with the red tide.