CarlislePaWx

Uhhh....954mb aint gonna happen. That pressue is 15mb lower than the superstorm's when it was at that same latitude. Fun to imagine though.

Thank you, @Jns2183, so much for that incredible report!! My memories of the 1960's begin in the mid 60's when I was around 6. I will always remember the stories my father told me of the winter of '60-'61. I was only 1, but he took a picture of me sitting on top of the biggest snow mound beside our driveway I've ever seen. He also did tell me they had to dig tunnels to get around the back yard the snow was so deep. (This was roughly 15 miles west of EWR.) I remember how excited I was when a snow day would cancel school. In our small town the fire department would blow the whistle 6 times at 7:00am and again at 7:30am to announce the closing. Since the town was only 1 square mile everyone could hear the whistle. How creative was that? The one other noteworthy memory I have is from the summer of 1966. I think that was one of the hottest summers of all time. It was the end of 2nd grade for me in mid June of 1966. I was 7. It was so hot in our building that our teacher just shut off the lights and had us all lay our heads down on our desks and remain quiet. What a combination of cold and heat during that decade. The same could be said 11 years later in the summer of 1977 when in July Central Park broke it's all-time high temp record when it hit 106. Then, remember what happened that following winter of '77-'78. One of the biggest Miller-B's to strike the northeast that February. Great memories for sure. I'll be recalling them over this weekend during our cold rainstorm! PS>>Hope you or your family member is OK!

Thanks for the blow-up map, @Blizzard of 93. There's no way the model will hit the exact amounts with perfection 3 1/2 days out. Talk about a gradient in my county...Newburg gets 12" while New Cumberland gets 1" !!! I think I've been around the 4" mark now for several runs, including this one. This one could be a real nail-biter.

Lol. That close up snow panel has me at 24". Hahahahahahahahaha.

Talk about durable...my temp overnight rose to 40 degrees and yet not even 0.01" of the frozen mixture in my rain gauge melted. Now the temp is back down to 35. I need the sun to come out before we drop below freezing to get some melting action going...lol.

Ironically, even though I really don't want my temp to go above freezing, for the moment I do want it to go up into the mid 30's. My tipping bucket rain gauge has all of today's snow and sleet sitting inside it, frozen, waiting to melt. I was hoping it would start melting today before midnight so the precip could actually be recorded on today's date. That's not looking likely now as my temp is just vacillating between 32.2 and 32.4 degrees. Last week I actually went out during the snowstorm and poured warm water into the gauge until it had tipped 45 times for 0.45" of liquid. All in the name of accuracy. Now is that dedication or what??

There's quite a bit of convection showing up on radar out by Mag and west central PA. Temps are in the mid to upper 40's in far western PA right now. The cold air hasn't even reached eastern OH yet. I'm thinking we might have quite the spike in temps over the next 6 hours as the front pushes eastward and scours out our surface cold. Currently I'm at 31.8 about to hit 32 any minute now. I wouldn't be surprised if we rocket up towards 40 overnight before settling back down.

The end is quickly approaching as the models had the end in here by 0Z. I still have sleet with just a hint of freezing rain mixed in, enough to create a small crunch to the snow as I walked on it from my car. I'm going with 0.8" of snow and 0.5" of sleet. There could have been a little more sleet but I'm working without a board at the moment. So 1.3" snow/frozen with a trace of zr on top should do it. Temp is up to 30.2 degrees now. @Blizzard of 93 You always find a way to post something optimistic...lol...in this case the almost snowstorm next Saturday. I'm glad we might have something to track during the upcoming week. All the sleet should slow down the melting of the snowpack considerably. I wouldn't be surprised if it lasts until Wednesday or Thursday. Anyway, thank you for your posts and updates. Very much appreciated!

Amazing. Yeah, I guess I was thinking more along the lines of Harrisburg vicinity. Lancaster definitely closer to the center. Still would not have guessed you had 4" of sleet. Wow. I wonder if there will ever be another superstorm in our lifetimes? I'm not sure if anyone ever compared that storm to the great November 1950 storm. I think PIT got 2 feet from that while EWR had hurricane conditions with sustained winds of 75mph for 12 hours. I know that seems impossible but it happened. Also, sub-zero temps in the panhandle of Florida. Would have loved to have been around for that one.

Perusing the latest ASOS obs it appears that they have a problem identifying sleet. All I see is Unknown Precip. Can they not identify sleet/ice pellets?

lol At that time, yes. But, now much happier to be a Pennsylvanian for the past almost 20 years.

You sleeted out here in the superstorm? I didn't know it reached this far inland. (I was in north Jersey at the time.) After 13" of snow i proceeded to have 5" of sleet!!! All with temps in the teens.

Well, that's it for me guys. Switched over to sleet about 10 minutes ago. Took a final snow measurement and it's 0.8". I don't have a board at the moment so I'm not going to be able to get a definitive sleet accumulation. But, I'll estimate a little later. Disappointed I didn't reach 2", but I guess we should listen to @Itstrainingtime who said when the low(s) are going west of you, lower your expectations regardless of the models. I never had high expectations but I was hoping to reach the 2" mark. The other disappointing thing is that the GFS took away our long-lasting cold stretch with its several snowstorms and replaced it with blah warmth. Hopefully we don't have to wait horribly long for our next legitimate snow shot. Temp 26.8 / 23.4 with a mix of sleet / snow I'd say 75%/25% right now.

Just went out to take a measurement. 0.6" on the ground. It's heavy now but the flakes are pretty fine still. Looking like it will get even heavier here when the moderate green arrives within the next 30 minutes. Temp down to 25.7 / 22.6. Dew Point is rising now. It held around 20 during the first round.

Heavier stuff arriving now. Moderate green on radar approaching. Hope that's snow and not sleet. 26.1.

Snow now moderate for the first time of this event. It has pushed the temp back down to 26.2. Looks like it's going to get even heavier here within the next 30 minutes as the green echoes make it here. Gotta get to that 2" mark fast before the mix arrives.

Snow has now resumed. Light. Temp 27.0 / 20.7. Congrats to those to the east who picked up more from round 1. Should also add winds have just picked up from the SE. Just had a gust to 14.

No snow here yet but it looks like it's getting close. Meanwhile temp has risen now to 26.6 / 20.5.

Yeah, looks like some great green echoes are rapidly approaching after a brief lull I'm in now. Have picked up roughly 0.4" total so far. Temp 24.1 / 19.7.

Snow has been steady, but primarily light. Ground is white now. I'd say about 0.3" accumulation. Temp 22.3 / 19.2. Started here around 7:30, so after almost 2 hours it hasn't been particularly productive (yet).

That's the highest amout for MDT in quite a few runs. The 4" line even reaches me now. Go GooFuS!

For the third time this season the pressure reached 30.70" (earlier today). That almost always means there will be strong CAD for any precip event that occurs within 36 hours of the pressure peak. So that's my reasoning.

I don't believe any rapid warm up at the surface. Throw it out!

Hey Hey...for the first time I'm not in sleet at 21Z! And it's got me over the 3" mark now. Funny how things keep slowly improving as we get to less than 36 hours from the start of the snow.

I barely can interpret a sounding. However, after looking over the upper air temp (on the NAM) it shows that the warmest the temp gets at the primary measuring levels of 925, 850, and 700 millibars is +1 up until the point the precip cuts off (by 0Z Sun). However, the sounding says that a small layer between 775mb and 850mb rises to 36F at 18Z. It says temps are below freezing from 850 down to the surface and from 775 on up to 700. So, that little portion of the atmosphere above freezing is what gives us (me) the sleet. (I did the sounding from my location in Carlisle.)