CarlislePaWx

Yesterday afternoon around 2:30 I was driving up 81 to 83 to Union Deposit for a doctor appointment. On the way up my car thermo was fluctuating between 103 and 104. As if that weren't stunning enough, about an hour later heading back to Carlisle via the same route, the thermo had reached 106 degrees! It read that when I got in the car to leave and then fluctuated between 105 and 106 until just before the MIddlesex exit when it read 104 for almost the remainder of my trip home When I arrived back home around 4:00pm my backyard temp read 100.6 and then proceeded to peak at 102.0 degrees. This reading is the highest reading I've recorded in the Carlisle area since moving here in 2000 (almost 26 years ago next month). My high on Thursday was 100.4 degrees. Currently, at 10:51am the temperature is 94.5 degrees with a dew point of 79.0 and a heat index of 112.0. This is a higher dew point than recorded yesterday. I'm wondering if I'll break 102 and or a heat index of 120? Peak heat index Wednesday was 119.5. My low this morning was 76.1 while yesterday morning's low was 73.6 degrees.

Here in Carlisle at 7:00pm...the current temperature is 94.8 degrees. The dew point is 74.5 degrees giving a heat index of 106.2 degrees. The lower dew point of roughly 5 degrees from the earlier reading of 80 degrees has also helped lower the heat index by roughly 13 degrees. It is still ridiculously hot given it's 7:00pm and the temperature is only down to 95. In my previous post I said that I had reached a high of 100.4 degrees. That actually turned out to be the high for today. I might have to wait until midnight before walking my dog. Maybe the temp will be down to 83 degrees?

Here in Carlisle at 4:30pm...the temperature has cracked the century mark, no sitting at 100.4 degrees. The dew point is 78.4 degrees while the heat index is a potentially deadly 119.5 degrees. This is the hottest temperature in more than 2 years. What else can I say? I'll be back with another update probably in an hour.

At 3:30pm here in Carlisle...the temperature is 99.1 degrees. This is the high for the day thus far, and also the high for the year-to-date. The dew point is 77.6 degrees. Combined this produces a heat index of 117.7 degrees F. Skies continue to be mostly sunny. I am revising my opinion from 3 hours ago concerning the probability of hitting 100 degrees. I would now say that there is a 90% chance I will hit 100 degrees and maybe go on to hit 101, which is the NWS forecast for me for today. Tomorrow marks the 6th anniversary of the closing on my home. I don't know where the years are all going. We're precisely halfway through this year! I'll be back with another update when I have officially reached 100 degrees. By the way, my high temp for last year was precisely 100.0 degrees, but with lower dew points. >>>Edit...I'm a day early with my NWS 101 forecast. As of this morning the high for today was forecast to be 98 degrees. Then 101 tomorrow and 102 degrees Friday, July 3rd.

Boy I hope you are right about that.

Here in Carlisle just after 12:30pm...the temperature is 94.6 degrees with a dew point of 80.2 degrees. This combination creates a heat index of 115.2 degrees. These numbers are already ridiculous and set to be worse tomorrow. Dew Points of 80+ degrees are not common in our part of the country. It's nearly impossible to exceed a dew point of 83 degrees. It's way too dangerous to go outside for any period of time (for we seniors). I'll update again in the next hour or two. I think 100 degrees here is a possibility, but less than 50% likelihood. Some locations around the LSV are going to reach heat index values of 120+ degrees. Personally, I think I've only ever witnessed an HI at or over 120 degrees maybe 2-3 times my entire life (and I'm 66). I just keep praying for all of us that we don't have brown-outs or worse yet, black-outs. Time will tell.

At 10:00am here in Carlisle, the temperature is 48.7 degrees. The low occurred 2 hours ago at 48.0. Light rain is falling at the moment. Since midnight I have recorded 0.90" of precipitation. Yesterday I recorded 0.25" for a 2-day total of 1.15". My high temperature (like most others) occurred at midnight and was 53.1 degrees. Of note, my high temperatures during the "heat wave" just a few days ago was 88.5 on the 17th, 96.4 on the 18th, 93.6 on the 19th, and I'll throw in 87.6 on the 20th. The heat (in my house) is back on again...lol.

In Carlisle this morning, my low temperature was 24.8 degrees which occurred roughly 45 minutes after sunrise (around 7:30). Reminded me of a typical winter morning since many mornings set their lows close to sunrise or even later if snow is on the ground with good radiation. About a week ago I figured I had seen my last 20's of the season, so a surprise this morning. Looks like tomorrow morning may also drop below 30 though likely not as low as this morning. Dew points overnight and this morning were in the upper teens making mid 20's lows possible. Right now at 1:15pm under clear skies (they've been clear the entire day thus far) my temp has only slowly risen to 48. Yesterday morning's low was 38.5, however, the calendar low occurred around 11pm with a reading of 32.0 degrees. Finally, precip-wise I've recorded 0.59" of precip so far this month with a year-to-date total of 8.88".

Well, it's looking like the party's over here. The snow has quickly come to an end. Radar clearly shows a very sharp back end that has been rapidly progressing east, and has just reach me in central Cumberland County. The temp is holding now at 32.4 degrees. Using my car for accumulation measurements, I just measured 0.3" of snow. Sidewalks and streets are still just wet. Grass is white everywhere. Maybe during the overnight snow showers develop with enough intensity to add a bit more on to the storm totals.

Quick update...I should have actually looked outside. It is completely snowing, moderately, and it already has been accumulating on the grass, mulch, and my car. There might even be a few tenths of accumulation so far. Another good indicator is my grill cover is also totally white. Temp now 32.7 degrees.

Just before 11:00 here in Carlisle it appears to be snowing almost completely with very little, if any rain still in the mix. My temperature has dropped to 32.9 degrees. My backyard camera is showing the snow hitting my pavers which then are melting quickly. I'm sure it is starting to accumulate in the mulch and maybe a little grass. Total precip now up to 1.12" for the day. Maybe we will wake up to a surprise with a white ground?

At 10:00pm there continues to be wet snow mixed in with rain. My temp has dropped another 10 degrees since my last report, now down to 33.8 Winds have only occasionally gusted to 20, otherwise only around 10 to 15 mph. Pressure has risen 7 millibars in the past two hours, from 29.20" to 29.41" or 996mb. I'm up to 1.12" of precip for the day and still accumulating. The precip mix should keep mixing with more snow and less rain during the next hour. Hopefully all snow by 11:00pm.

Fropa about 15 minutes ago. Westerly winds 10-20, gusting to 30. Heavy rain. Total today 0.89" so far. Temperature drop of 14 degrees in 15 minutes...from 60 down to 46 at the moment and still dropping rapidly. Pressure bottomed out at 29.20". Radar sure looks promising for some snow. It's snowing all the way back to eastern OH. I expect the first flakes to begin mixing in when my temp reaches 37. Now 45 degrees (at 8:20).

So far this morning here in Carlisle...the radar continues to show precip overhead with the rain about to transition over to snow. However, it's all virga. Nothing is reaching the ground. Temperature continues to slowly drop, and is now down to 38.5 degrees. Winds are gusty.

I wasn't sorry to see what those impressive pictures were showing to my north. I wonder if NWS will investigate? I guess they always do whenever a tornado touches down. I recorded 0.09" since midnight, 0.43" yesterday with about half that occurring in the morning and the rest in the evening. 2-day storm total of 0.52", and now 1.94" total liquid for the month. The heaviest rain appears to have bypassed me both to the north and to the south. Blue mountain causes unexpected things (weather-related) to happen. The worst for me is down sloping of any snow shower activity that just dries up frequently.