wisconsinwx

That was the one this thread was supposed to be for haha.

Watch it switch out to a 50 mile wide weenie band a day out. Models really do suck us in as bad as tantalizing sports teams. Euro showed 5-8 straight runs of over a foot for Milwaukee, and now in Round One I have the mix line hanging miles to my NW and projected to do so for the next five hours. The main event will blast ChiTown with heavy snow while we see sloppy seconds.

Here we are, another potential storm next Tuesday/Wednesday. This one may have more cold air/existing snowcover to work with. Maybe a candidate for a SE trend?

I saw that one, pretty run here, the main deformation zone is probably not even through yet and spots of a foot or a tad more showing up.

The one he borrowed from Tropical? That was the snow magnet palm box.

Does it have more sleet or more ice for SE Wisconsin replacing the snow?

If anyone can see the GEM Ensembles when they come out, that'd be cool. If they do not support the OP, then it would help a lot of us feel better that it's out to lunch narrowing the snow band.

Right now, I would feel best if I lived about 40-60 miles north of Milwaukee, around Sheboygan. Even the weaker models show a maximum to the north near the lake (probably some lake enhancement). May well be a nice storm for GRB leading up to the game on Sunday.

GEM did pretty well too; it was a NW occupant for much of the tracking time and had a (maybe too narrow) stripe of 8-14" of snow, which now all models seem to be latching onto.

It is surprising it includes sleet too, I thought most of the mixed precip in NE Illinois was progged to be freezing rain?

The Icon is in the same category of lolworthy models as the JMA, isn’t it? It’s out on its own for this storm (though the snow axis finally moved more in line).

At least the NAM looks to favor sleet over freezing rain this far north.

Yeah, it feels like it's been awhile since we've seen a classic Panhandle Hook (the kind that are compared to 12/1/06 and 2/5-6/08 like this one has at times).

Looks like either a pretty nice sleet/mixed bag storm with a couple inches of backside snow, or perhaps a pretty significant snowstorm.

Local Mets on TMJ4 said in their noon forecast they’re leaning toward the GFS over the Euro because it’s done better so far this year I get going toward the more conservative model but that reasoning is kind of bogus.

Yeah, that's what happened in the winter of 1989-90 in Milwaukee. It was the snowiest October on record in '89, and the snowiest May on record I believe, in '90.

Measured just a tick under 4" about 15 minutes ago, with the heaviest rates being in the last couple hours.

Just thought I would note it's been a long time since we opened our wintry period of the year with a -PNA; I have kept close track of the indices for PNA the last several years, and I remember them being positive most years come November/early December (at best neutral) so seeing that helps to have an active start to the cold season.

Notice Aurora's temperatures today are a bit suspect as well, has stayed in the mid 70s all day so far when most surrounding sites are mid 80s.

Anyone know if St Louis has ever gone the whole month of September without a sub 80F high? They have a shot at doing that, pending the next few days with projected highs around 80.

Our local highs the last seven days: 73F, 72F, 75F, 72F, 73F, 77F and today hit 78F before the SE breeze kicked in. Sensing a theme? It's been a very good September if you like consistent comfortably warm weather. Dews have been in the 60s more often than not, but when the temperature is largely below 80, being humid is not necessarily a drawback in my book. One of our local mets chose to call the month 'steamy' on FB (he is from St Louis too) and I had to laugh. I'm as hot weather intolerant as anyone, but consistent 70s, even with moderate to high humidity, is not steamy unless in the months October to April/May.

Thermometer at home did not even make it to 80F today, which was supposed to be the warmest day of this stretch. Ahh, September near the Lakes, also had several rounds of boomers.

That calm wind ought to be a real kick in the shorts.

The further north you go in our subforum, the better August/September tend to be, with the more active jet stream and plenty of warm, but not unbearable summer/early fall days. The Ohio Valley tends to bake and dry out in those months, so I can see how the summer doldrums could set in.

I see DTW recorded two 90F days consecutively this latest warm period as well, probably intrahour. In Milwaukee I don't know if it's the urban location, I always thought either the direction it was facing (I'm leaning towards east because it always seems to heat up quickly in the morning) or being on the tarmac. A local met said it was not on the tarmac, but I'm still not convinced it produces an accurate reading for the local area.