IUsedToHateCold
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Everything posted by IUsedToHateCold
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Arctic Sea Ice Extent, Area, and Volume
IUsedToHateCold replied to ORH_wxman's topic in Climate Change
Here we are at Thanksgiving and the Chucki sea is still mostly ice free. Pretty incredible. -
We blew past our forecast high. 58 outside
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The 0z operational GFS I looked at last night supports this.
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Down to 25 this morning.
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19. Ground outside looks frozen solid.
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That was our life story last fall (we have a 2 year old). Best of luck! Took a walk tonight. Absolutely stunning - so many stars even for a suburban location. A perfectly crisp 24 degrees. Expect to hit the teens in my location (I've noted over the years I radiate well, perhaps because I am near the patuxent research refuge?)
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A 2-4 week period of warmth in early December makes sense. I think we rock after that. Could see a repeat of what we saw this month with very warm temps followed by a crash, cold, and this time- snow.
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I've grappled with this much, and I could easily see it being wrong in favor of more average totals, but I've ultimately decided to go with my gut. Which is: go big or go home. BWI: 40" DCA: 24" IAD: 48" RIC: 19" Tiebreaker SBY: 22" My yard: 32" Edit 11/27/22: upped totals
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Yeah I think he’s wrong. We could easily have a 2010-2011 type season but I think 2011-2012 is unlikely.
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I’ve increasingly come to like 95-96 as an analog, despite some significant differences. I think volatile is the right word and I point the finger at the volcano. I could easily see a winter much like this month with periods of extreme warm and cold, and with definite potential for some major snow.
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Holy….
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RN 66/66, looking forward to tracking some severe storms in a bit. Can’t wait for the rain to clear out so I can go out and enjoy a last bit of warmth before the cold sets in.
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Those are pretty strong words and not based in any kind of reality.
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Today.
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Local weatherbug already has 70. We are making a run at 80 today
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FFS, can’t they keep it off until Thanksgiving? Ugh.
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Torchvember has begun. My prediction is warmest ever for DCA.
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Yes it hurts. My prediction for DCA to freeze in December might come in accurate and I might have nailed it almost entirely if RIC and BWI had just been a couple of degrees colder last week.
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Was promised mostly cloudy conditions today. Didn’t see the sun at all. Forecast fail.
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First week of November
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If the GFS is to be believed 11/6 is the next best shot after what looks like a significant warm period.
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Colors are beautiful this year. Patchy in the Bowie/Crofton area. Still a week or two from peak.
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Early November snow is no better IMO.
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I’m wrong
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38 on my local weatherbug
