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IUsedToHateCold

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Everything posted by IUsedToHateCold

  1. Great huge flakes, roads caving immediately. Best part of the storm. I’m going to dare call it heavy snow.
  2. I’ve got light snow here in Bowie, so it made it pretty far south. Don’t know if I’ll get any accumulations
  3. NC radar does show precipitation creeping northward. Models have the low going all over the place, in many cases east and then west again, north and south again. I looked at the SPC mesoanalysis page and they have a 1002 L off Ocean City by tomorrow morning (if I read that map right, which maybe I didn't). Feel bad for the mets on trying to forecast this. Models do seem to agree on one thing though - lots of snow in Pennsylvania.
  4. It’s been a mixed bag for the past couple of hours but currently mostly snow with some pingers. Eyeballing 2.5 inches for my total, will get official measurement later
  5. Microscopic flakes with the occasional decent one mixed in. Poor flake quality. Like WxMan said I am probably close to the mix line.
  6. 1.5 inches measured. Nice winter day. SN- light flakes coming down.
  7. Under a deeper band right now. Fatties coming down. Eyeballing close to an inch.
  8. I don’t have anything either and I’m a bit closer to DC.
  9. I don’t know you and you don’t know me, but we thought the same thing.
  10. I'll be happy with 4 inches, which is a reasonable expectation given climo and the 6z suite. I think it's going to be hard to avoid the CCB being between Philly and NYC or a dryslot/changeover for part of the storm. But who knows. That's the fun of this hobby, right?
  11. I wouldn’t count on it. Deformation bands tend to set up to our north west in most coastal storms. That said, it can happen. I’d lock up the 12z CMC in a heartbeat, but it’s probably wrong.
  12. The stubborn Goofus continues to sit on an island by itself with that primary being so far north.
  13. RGEM gets DC into the blue and NAM/HRRR are close misses. My forecast has chance of an isolated snow shower. Perhaps?
  14. All snow now, coming down pretty good, already a light coat on the car.
  15. If it's raining in Winchester I assume the mid levels are too warm. I would also assume that since it's rain (not sleet) that they are pretty warm indeed. Can rates really overcome that? I really just don't want to get my hopes up for snow if this is just going to be freezing rain.
  16. The Euro will always be king in my heart. 15 years of tracking weather and it has usually been more right than the other models. Fond memories of how it was the only one to predict the recurve of that hurricane several years ago and all the models caved to it at the end. It’s hard to accept a world where it caves to the GFS. So dear Euro-please show us a 20 inch area wide event at 12z
  17. With the suppression trend this year I won’t be surprised if we are complaining about all the QPF being in NC in a few days.
  18. I remember shoveling the 6+ inches of snow on the March 2018 storm. Was definitely surprised to be in the higher totals area.
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