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IUsedToHateCold

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Everything posted by IUsedToHateCold

  1. I’m hugging the GFS. It was the first to detect this storm and it has led the entire way. Bring it on.
  2. The banding on the FV3 makes sense. I’ll buy it.
  3. I have been watching Mid Atlantic snowstorms for only 10 years (way less than some other posters) and I have never seen it not happen this way. NW areas won’t get as much QPF, but will be colder and thus get more snow out of the QPF they do get.
  4. Euro doesn't quite have what the GFS did, but these totals seem more sensical to me. GFS really does score a coup it seems.
  5. The GFS was the only model that even had this idea 5 days ago. It is absolutely leading the way.
  6. That is a weird map. Hard to believe areas in southern Maryland don’t mix while places north of Baltimore do.
  7. GFS gets everyone in on the action.
  8. GFS+Euro+RGEM all show measurable snowfall for DCA, so the NAM really is on an island.
  9. I’d love to see the 18z Euro agree with the GFS. If that happens I’d be less afraid of the NAM
  10. I’ll take that 18z GFS and lock it up
  11. That would ruin my night pretty quick. I don't have high expectations, but I'd at least like to see first flakes for the season. Is it a lot to ask? Probably.
  12. The NAM is on an island for now. Let’s hope it stays that way.
  13. This is the CAPE storm right? Perhaps they should start it. I believe.
  14. That’s the one that gave EZF like 8 inches and DCA was cloudy, right? Ugh
  15. The odds say you are correct. Yet, like a gambler on a 20+ bet losing streak, can we get some luck? At least those of us near 95 who saw almost nothing but sleet last year?
  16. If this is a hit then score a win for the GFS, which had a clue days ago.
  17. I'll take it, although I historically do very poorly in this type of event in my location. It's usually 3-5 hours of watching it snow in Frederick/Gaithersburg waiting for a switch that moves as slowly as a slug crawling uphill across the Beltway. Finally it snows but the ground is too wet and I get a pile of slush, maybe an inch. I didn't look at the soundings, but as depicted on the 18z GFS the rain line is precariously close. Let's hope that moves to the east.
  18. No, I want back-to-back snowstorms for eight weeks straight. A proper winter. Yes, I'm greedy.
  19. I like the 18z GFS as opposed to the 12z already. Not sure if I should, but definitely colder after the monster storm pushes through.
  20. Hour 288 on the GFS showing an eastern trough with some serious cold.
  21. Rain here. Kind of surprising as I expected it all to stay south and east
  22. I feel like the GFS had a poor handle on the pattern we're going into now at the end of Dec. I would favor the Euro at this point.
  23. Snow on a model under 200 hours? On Christmas? Lock it up. Still waiting for my first white Christmas having lived here 10 years now.
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