IUsedToHateCold
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Everything posted by IUsedToHateCold
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It’s a snow-on-snow event for me, assuming everything doesn’t melt by tomorrow night (melting at a pretty good clip today) So I don’t really care I’ll take whatever I get. What I really wish is that it wouldn’t rain a few days later. I want to keep this snowpack around for as long as possible
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Looks like 0z GFS has the low a tad more north and a more robust precip shield. A slight improvement.
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While the Euro may have better verification scores overall, one thing I have noticed about models over the years is that they tend to do better in certain patterns over others. Given this line of thinking, when a model gets something right, I think it makes sense to pay better-than-usual attention to it again at least until the pattern changes. Even if the model is not giving me snow. So yeah, I will favor the GFS for this storm. If the GFS doesn't pan out then it will be demoted back to usual status.
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Forecast low temp of 26 already busted low at 22. Snowpack FTW. If any precip falls in the AM it will be icy indeed.
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I don’t know about the HRRR but I have good reason to favor the GFS given that the Euro basically caved to it the last time. GFS is king until it’s dethroned
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January Medium/Long Range Discussion
IUsedToHateCold replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
I’ll buy what the GFS is selling. 4 fresh inches are always welcome. It didn’t steer me wrong the last time either. Hard to believe I’m going to win in back to back events though. -
Measured about 10" as the final band moves through. Incredible event for us east of 95. Big thanks to @CAPE for foreseeing this one and taking us to the finish line.
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Still in the yellow deathband. Unbelievable storm. Eyeballing at least 8-9 inches.
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Ugh. I imagine they aren’t going anywhere too soon. That sucks
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In the yellows and it continues to pile on. Eyeballing around 6 inches? Probably second best storm I’ve seen since moving here in 2011
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Just piling up at an incredible rate. Stuck with the toddler and can’t get out to measure but it’s got to be at least 4-5 inches now
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Obligatory deck pic. Eyeballing 3 or so inches. Official measurement soon.
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Go ahead because I’m already eyeballing 3 inches. Enjoy a drink on me!
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Roads have caved, snow coming down good. Haven’t been this excited in a long time.
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Yup, talk about living on the edge for now. Looks to be drifting north on the last frame though.
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Woke up to a decently heavy snow! Eyeballing about an inch or so on the grass and rooftop. Paved surfaces still wet. 32 degrees.
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Radar made a fool of my last post. Rain already moving in.
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I’m at least 4-5 hours away from precip judging by radar. Could begin as all snow depending on how fast the cold can get here. Probably not
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48/38
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NAM still had this thing running off the coast of SC last night IIRC. GFS has nailed it from the beginning. I want to see the 19 inches it has repeatedly shown me I am going to get, so I am hugging it.
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Model runs today have given my yard nothing to be scared about, I look to be in prime position (for once). Good luck everyone!
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It is indeed. Looks more like the 12z Euro
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Local weatherbug has 63/60. About to go for my last walk of this abnormally warm winter period.
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Jackpot is over my yard. I'll take.
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If the 12z GFS verifies LWX ain't going to look good.
