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Terpeast

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Terpeast

  1. Terpeast
    Just maybe I won’t get fringed. And good thing is there isn’t enough time left for this NW trend to continue until this storm actually starts
  2. Terpeast
    What did the previous run look like?
  3. Terpeast
    Interesting how the wrf and hrrr shifted north
  4. Terpeast
    Nice runs so far. I think the 12k is overdone, 3k more realistic. But growing more confident for an area wide 2-4"er with someone getting 5"+
  5. Terpeast
    Judging from that loop a few posts above, the euro is the furthest south of any model with that frozen precip field. The gfs does amp up amounts everywhere including down south, though
  6. Terpeast
    Not looking at the models till I get home, but I’m not looking for another trend. Just hold the line is all I ask
  7. Terpeast
    I don’t know what they‘re seeing to go that bullish. I keep seeing 1-3/2-4
  8. Terpeast
  9. Terpeast
    Was that the cold smoke quick hitter where the roads caved immediately? I enjoyed that one. Got 5”. Don’t remember expecting that much more, but it was close. Philly was expecting up to 18”
  10. Terpeast
    As I mentioned, a 2-4”er area wide without thermal issues even SE of 95 would be a great win and a nice compromise. Amping it further would be too greedy and get some of us in trouble
  11. Terpeast
    Wow, bullish. I was thinking 1-2” locally 3”
  12. Terpeast
    Yeah, I think those areas will be the winners, at least in agreement from the two groups of modeling. Personally, I’m not sure what to root for. The more amped NW group where I get more, but with potential ptype issues along and SE of 95… or the colder solutions with a central VA jack. Leaning towards the latter because I love cold smoke snows even if I get less. A compromise between the two would be perfect.
  13. Terpeast
    Some models say tomorrow midday, others delay it until tomorrow evening. Hard to say, depends on where that narrow band aims and when the column gets saturated enough
  14. Terpeast
    Looks like two groups of models, one has more snow NW of the fall line, the other has more SE. Gonna be interesting, and I hope everyone wins.
  15. Terpeast
    Snow shower stopped here in Vienna
  16. Terpeast
    I’m at my mom’s house in Vienna. Light snow and windy.
  17. Terpeast
    Flurries in vienna/fairfax
  18. Terpeast
    Better than a dusting eh? Looks like I missed this. Not sure its going to quite make it to i-66
  19. Terpeast
    43 in vienna, dark clouds moving in from the NW. looks like summer tstorms I’m sure my house in ashburn has a dusting by now
  20. Terpeast
    Went to Vienna today. Might snow in Ashburn and not here. Lol
  21. Terpeast
    At least the HRRR doesn’t show that 925 warm layer. For now. Either the Nam is onto something or it’s too warm
  22. Terpeast
    Well, that’s a new and surprising development with this system. Maybe I should not be so surprised
  23. Terpeast
    Hrrr doesn’t get the squall line far enough south for the dc metro, but radar looks better. Can see the mountains eating it up south of 50
  24. Terpeast
    I think someone pointed out (maybe it was you?) that EPS has been doing much better in the long range than gefs this winter.
  25. Terpeast
    24 low
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