Terpeast
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Everything posted by Terpeast
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Well if you're going by that verification, its jack was off by about 50 miles too far south. Look at the map, and draw your own conclusion.
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I think the GFS just needs a little more time. Let's give it till tomorrow 12z
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I think I read somewhere, can't recall exactly, but the location that would have been DCA measured around 20-21 inches in the knickerbocker storm. On the other side of DC, Rock Creek Park measured 33"
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That's a lot of members right along the coastline.
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Best part? We're inside a week on the best performing OP model
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I knew this would be an interesting day of tracking. Wasn’t sure if it would be in a good or bad way. So far so good!
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About the same as the GFS, with the Euro beating both
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It reminds me of Feb 2006, except colder
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CMC is a beatdown, let's hope it's onto something.
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CMC 135, I think its finally starting to turn the corner. Precip building in the Tenn valley
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CMC at 126 precip is pretty far south, but lets see if it turns the corner. Still better than the last run
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CMC 111 setting us up
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6z is an improvement NW of 95
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Heavier snows DC & S/E at hr 132, mod snow to blue ridge, still going at 135
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Better than 6z
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mod snow 129
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Lgt snow starts hr 123 for DC metro
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PV is more NW instead of previous run pressing further SE
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N/S and S/S timing more aligned, making a phase more likely. Still early.
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Was going to say the same thing.
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hr 87, looks like the s/w out west has more room to dig. We'll see. Early
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Tbf I look at 4-6 past runs to glean any meaningful trends. But if it’s jumpy, it doesn’t mean much it anything.
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I've been loving these 4-6" storms the past two winters, but I keep fantasizing about getting a big dump of 17", 30", or whatever big number.
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And there's a difference between getting a foot in your backyard while Boston gets 3 ft, and getting a foot and watching Raleigh getting 3 ft.
