Terpeast
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Everything posted by Terpeast
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After hitting 70 yesterday, just missed the 60 degree mark with a high of 59 today
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Low of 37
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Stayed under 60 imby, high of 59. Will probably have a midnight low tonight
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Lower 50s and breezy. Feels like November
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Or just not cold enough. I agree there’s a chance as depicted, and if it does happen it would be an extra bonus.
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Yeah, this is a totally different team than the sorry one under Snyder. They’ll take their lumps like last night, but overall will be fine.
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I’m a little more optimistic than the worst case scenarios, more like 7-10” for DC and west, 4-7” SE (similar to Don S’s thoughts). Could really happen in one storm and then that’s all she wrote. Could also be a <4” shutout but I think this season will have a surprise curveball or two for us.
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That’s to be expected as the mjo circles through the warm phases. It’s what happens after that I’m interested in.
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Ended up with 0.37”
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0.25” so far
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BWI: 9.4” DCA: 5.1” IAD: 12.3” RIC: 2.8” Tiebreaker (SBY): 4.3”
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Raining, never got out of the 40s
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29.3 for the low mby
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Same, 0.34”. Just enough to skip watering my new grass for one evening.
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Yeah, that’s the beginning of the time frame that I’m interested in. Around then through roughly mid Jan, depending on the MJO
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MJO rmm ens forecasts currently predict another 4-6 pass between Thanksgiving and mid-December-ish. November will be mild overall for the east, but might have some variability on the cooler side, potentially a huge lake effect event late Nov or an interior snowfall in the NE. Then likely turn back milder for the first half of December. Beyond that is when I’m watching for it to turn, if at all.
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A bit of a SE ridge linking up with the -NAO, looks familiar. Hope we get some rain, anyway.
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Yes please.
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Yep. We will get ours one day, and when we do, some existing snowfall records will get absolutely pancaked. Not this winter probably.
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Let’s save this for late Dec or Jan, mm aight?
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This may not even qualify as a nina if ONI stays weak, even though MEI/RONI are already in nina territory. both Nov and Dec look torchy, and I don’t see any decent chances for wintry weather in the MA until late Dec and thereafter.
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Just some fun speculation… maybe Feb will be the cold month this time? Not the first time CFS hinted this
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Where did you get those? Links?
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Got enough rain to wet the ground a bit. Was surprised. Don’t think it amounted too that much, though
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Makes sense because the MJO will be back in the warm phases by then. It’s late Dec onward that I’m watching for.
