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Terpeast

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Terpeast

  1. It would be hilarious if the RGEM had the right original idea
  2. Not a promising sign for south of i-66/rt 50. North of that should still be on track. Gonna be an interesting afternoon .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... Model trends early this morning show Arctic front has slowed down considerably since yesterday and is not fcst to clear the northern half of the fcst area until after 18Z. Meanwhile, models trends and microwave imagery through the snowfall rate product show precip arriving sooner than previously expected. Microwave passes since 0220Z showed that snow has been falling in the mountains since that time and a more recent pass from 0800Z showed that snow, at least aloft, has made it to areas just west of I-81. Further east, gridded NUCAPS data showed that 925 and 850 mb 0C isotherms are further north than model guidance suggest and given current temps in the upper 30s and slower trend on the passage of the Arctic front indicate that areas along and south of Interstate 66 and US-50 will see more rain or mixing with rain at the beginning of the precip event. Still, a 3-hr period of intense precip rates is expected this afternoon, mainly between 18-21Z, when Arctic air will be advancing southward. The low pressure system will be out of the picture by 00Z Monday with most of the snow gone, except in far northeast Maryland and in the mountains where snow will continue all night. New snow totals maps were changed slightly, basically to cut down on snow accumulations some, particulary along and south of Interstate 66 and US-50 and precip start time was adjusted to bring precip sooner.
  3. Now we know what their offseason priorities are. it aint over till its over. Its on the defense now
  4. I would have never predicted we’d be up 17 with 8 min left
  5. What the what? What JUST happened??
  6. So I don’t know what the outcome of this game is going to be, but we just put up 31 points on the best seeded NFC team… in one half… on the ROAD
  7. Hopefully this is the halftime adjustment we make
  8. Mine is 10’ agl but at the bottom of a hill that my house sits on, so my deck is actually higher than the station
  9. As soon as I saw him start playing, it was like “oh crap, its gonna be a long night”. Beast.
  10. And my point n click went from 2-4” to 3-5”
  11. Hit freezing, then dead cat bounced up to 33/31. Think i’ll hover around there or maybe a couple deg lower through the night until précis starts
  12. I’m actually thinking 2-4” for you and DC metro because of the potential heavy band once the coastal gets going. But further SW like CHO, I don’t see them getting in said heavy band. Sorry its a bit misleading, my bad ps. Next time I won’t use cyan haha
  13. Final call (I know, ugly map, but it gets my idea across)
  14. Well, that is close. So close. Plenty of time to reel this one in, too
  15. Mby station is reporting 47.5 as the high, now 47. Under sunny skies. Full two degrees warmer than other obs, so probably 45 is the real temperature. May need to calibrate my station temp…
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