Terpeast
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Everything posted by Terpeast
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Weather Station Recommendations
Terpeast replied to Northern FireWX Watcher's topic in Weather Marketplace
I'm thinking about getting a Weatherflow Tempest. Curious if they're having a black friday sale this year? -
Same. They don’t usually win on Monday night
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11/15/2022: Mood flakes (not counting as a T)
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Having come from the Bob Ryan / Doug Hill days (yes I’m showing my age)… I’m not familiar with the new generation of TV mets here, except I’ve seen Topper Shutt maybe a few times. Who are the best ones? Who busts the most? (Hopefully this Doug K fellow)
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Seeing a flake or two mixed in with light rain/sleet EDIT: now seeing a mix rain/snow/sleet. Didn’t need to look so hard
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Hey now, that’s NSFW. There’s kids here!
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I'll try not to use the word "reload" more than once for the winter. Oh wait... shit.
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And I see a hint of a split flow pattern with a NAO block. If this holds, we can potentially cash in mid-Dec.
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Low 29 Ashburn
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I noticed that. 12z gfs only showed the warm one and no second storm.
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How does a +nao help us here? This cold map is almost entirely driven by the poleward E Pac ridge driving cold air south
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Took family out for a walk to enjoy 65-70 degree temps before they fall like a rock tonight and tomorrow.
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Could see some mood flakes, and what’s interesting is that the models show a few impulses along the SE coast in the next week or so. Maybe it’s just a blip, but it could also be a sign of what’s to come this winter whenever we get a positively tilted longwave trough centered over the US midwest.
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0.92” total. Would’ve been nice to get more, but I’ll take it.
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Death band incoming
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Big ass dry slot.
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0.6” here. Felt like we got more though. Hopefully that second round delivers.
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Winter 2022-2023 Promises Plenty of Mid Season Mayhem
Terpeast replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Very detailed, nice work. Was looking forward to your outlook and you delivered! -
Agreed. Not expecting anything east of the blue ridge anytime soon, but if we get another shot after a reload in December, I think we will get something.
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I don’t get it either. I follow his posts, but I’m seeing mixed messages.
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Yeah, that might be one of the best matches now. 1985-86 is becoming less and less of a match.
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Funnily enough, a month ago we could have said that October was the new November
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It’s possible, not holding my breath. First, the airmass has to be cold enough and climo is not there yet. Second, it would have to thread the needle since we’re not getting any help from the NAO (it’s positive on that map) I think we get a cold rain and mix/snow in the mountains
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My 2022-23 winter outlook & "what went wrong" Post-mortem
Terpeast replied to Terpeast's topic in Mid Atlantic
Read my own outlook, and don’t see much reason to change anything for now. November is off to a very warm start, and next week’s cold weather will reduce the magnitude of warm anomalies. Then the pattern I believe will relax a bit after the cold shot. Pretty confident we’ll finish the month at +2 if not much higher. Still expecting another flip to cold after Thanksgiving. -
BWI: 15” DCA: 11” IAD: 17” RIC: 6” Tiebreaker (SBY): 7”
