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Terpeast

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Terpeast

  1. Terpeast
    Yeah I'm looking at Feb 12-15 when we get into 7, which is a transitory phase that kicks off favorable storm tracks and -EPO should supply cold air to our side. How quickly we get there is the million dollar question. GEFS says slower, EPS says faster.
  2. Terpeast
    it's close, but 850 low too far north. A good central PA hit. But still plenty of time. That week is supposed to be a warm week with MC convection firing, so I don't think there is much support for a wintry event that period. It'll come down to timing of cold air (if any)
  3. Terpeast
    I was surprised, too. I wanted them to go for the jugular. Tbf though, it was 4th and 5 instead of 1-2. Quinn might have gotten gun shy for a second there.
  4. Terpeast
    Massive EPO ridge even linking with the west coast ridge. Probably smoothing out some pac blocking
  5. Terpeast
    Disagree on priorities. We need a good strong defensive tackle to stop the run himself or draw double/triple teams so others can also stop the run or rush the passer. Get that position filled in first, then get a good corner and a safety, then shore up the OL.
  6. Terpeast
    20.1 another cold morning
  7. Terpeast
    +2 fail once again
  8. Terpeast
    Now we got a game!
  9. Terpeast
    It keeps shifting the AK ridge back and forth, which lowers confidence in gefs until it’s more consistent. I’d lean on the EPS anyway
  10. Terpeast
    If I were the ref, I would have overturned it. I didn’t see control of the ball there by the WR. It was assisted by the ground and the corner’s hand
  11. Terpeast
    Case in point, its not a catch but refs says it is after a booth review
  12. Terpeast
    Is KC really that good, or just incredibly lucky? Or both? I guess it also helps when the refs always makes calls in favor of KC
  13. Terpeast
    Rarely post in the panic room, but I just saw a flock of birds flying north in formation. Was thinking “so soon? Its like they already know”
  14. Terpeast
    Offseason priorities are painfully obvious
  15. Terpeast
    HUGE shift in the AK ridge from 6z to 12z (we want it more east. This is not the typical run to run shifts, but a bigger one. 12z 6z
  16. Terpeast
    Its gonna take a lot more shifting to make this one a hit. Not saying we’re out, but more of a long shot
  17. Terpeast
    Looks like a CAD event for our sub if the cold air holds like the 6z eps has trended towards as CAPE said above
  18. Terpeast
    Around 50% snowcover now. It was a good run.
  19. Terpeast
    Everybody is expecting the eagles to feed barkley and for him to run for 200+ yards. What if, just maybe, commanders stop barkley and hold him to less than 120 yards and pull out an upset over the eagles? Before saying that’ll never happen, remember what people were saying before the lions game.
  20. Terpeast
    With such big changes, its obvious the models are flip flopping. Weeklies don’t look all that great, but with the boundary closeby and the PV on our side of the globe, it doesn’t take big changes to bring us enough cold for snow. Best to watch trends over 4-8 model cycles than the shifts of each cycle.
  21. Terpeast
    Western ridging trending stronger at 360 va previous runs. Still need to keep an eye on the AK ridge and how that also trends. Looks to me the SE ridge end of run is more transient for now
  22. Terpeast
    Just took a quick look at the ens, it looks like we’ll have a NN week up to Jan 31, but dry. Then a mild first week of Feb, and then likely cold again after feb 6-7 when things might get interesting. By the first week of feb we should be tracking something.
  23. Terpeast
    FIFY. Not a fan of ice storms, but that’s me.
  24. Terpeast
    Low of 14, now 25. High clouds
  25. Terpeast
    Feels like the winters of my childhood years. I’m at around 60% of climo so far with roughly halfway to go
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