Terpeast
-
Posts
5,326 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Terpeast
-
I was thinking even last night that the NAO block was further north than usual But I ain't shedding a tear over the crazy euro snow map up through NE, most of that comes after day 10 which will almost certainly change of course
-
Yes, you're right, it was 0z I was comparing to. My bad
-
Looks like a thump to mix for DC & points NW
-
12z euro is colder both at sfc and 850, thicknesses further south (compared to 06z)
-
Yeah, it’s more north-based block, which still works without playing up suppression risk. No chance of New Orleans getting 10” this time haha
-
Nothing falling here. Just was out for half an hour. But cold. 34/19
-
This is exactly why I keep saying we need wiggle room by being on the north side of the heaviest snows modeled a week out. We have no wiggle room left with the euro op/ens, but it’s on its own at least for now.
-
Looks like we want to root for an earlier start (or the first wave to be dominant) when we still have the thermals for a most/all snow event
-
I see it a tick south, but still great for us
-
Possible reason why GFS went south was it trended stronger with the EPO ridge and is also flatter with the overall flow. While the euro also has that EPO ridge, it digs the trough more to the west of us allowing the storm to consolidate and/or amplify. The gfs has a few weaker waves along the flatter boundary. Both give us good results, and I think there will likely be more amplitude and less suppression in mid-February than January.
-
18z had the precursor too. Just the second one went a bit south, which honestly is a decent place to be at this lead. Plenty of wiggle room.
-
Going good at 165
-
Lt-mod 159, heights a tick south
-
Light snow starting at 156
-
Good points, and yes both ens have -ao/-nao in spades
-
Gefs still has it, a bit weaker but still ridgy over AK. Eps may be trying to lose the epo ridge too quickly, but we shall see with couple more days.
-
Looking ahead on the overall pattern including the EPO, the GEFS has actually been doing better in the last 2 weeks and should be the favored model until verification scores flip.
-
Folks, we are getting into less than 1 week out for the Feb 12 system. GFS and Euro are in good agreement for now.
-
You're joking, right? That's a HECS signal
-
Ain't she a beaut. Let's enjoy for the next 6 hours.
-
The onset is only 1 week away almost to the hour!
-
Wow! #lockitin
-
Euro was having some issues so they’re releasing on the old schedule this run
-
Just fell short of 60 before temps got smacked back down into the low 50s
-
Totally fine with this. We all know it won't pan out this way verbatim. Good spot to be in actually at this range.
