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Everything posted by Terpeast
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Starting to rain. Some lightning.
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Watching that cell pass north of purcellville while I get gapped… AGAIN. Possibly those cells popping up near/north of front royal actually make their way here, but…
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Went over to mom’s house today in fairfax. Lots of cloud cover inhibited convection, and only at 4 pm a cell came over us. Non-severe. Decent downpour knocked temps back to low 80s. Drove back to ashburn at 5 pm, temps shot back up to 92 and sunny. It’s hot out. And dry as a bone.
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
Terpeast replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Reporting from fairfax, decent downpour with gusts, but no severe characteristics- 2,785 replies
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Sun is back out. Maybe something pops up later? Not exactly holding my breath
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Wasn’t bullish as soon as I woke up today. Too much cloudiness to really break the cap
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Brief downpour with a few gusts. Nothing to write home about. At least it wet the ground just enough
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
Terpeast replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Nothing on radar, but clouds are darkening overhead. Dc metro might see something fire up soon- 2,785 replies
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Why is there such a disparity between these 3? Especially CDAS vs. CRW? Should we take the average of the 3, or toss the outliers?
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And he knows his stuff. When he talks, I pay attention. Doesn’t mean he’s always right, it’s the nature of being a meteorologist.
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Just went out. I could smell it.
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Yeah, and I think one reason this nino has not collapsed (yet) despite lack of wwbs is that there’s a ton of subsurface warmth
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In cpc’s recent update the model anomaly forecasts showed a temporary pause or slight cooling in July, then resume warming up Aug-Oct.
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My mom's house in FXCo is getting hammered now
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Got jumped again. Ashburn. So this is how it’s gonna be…
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Much higher than 6-8k ft. Once you start seeing anvils forming, those towers have already reached the tropopause.
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
Terpeast replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yeah, it seemed they carried over the previous AFD- 2,785 replies
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
Terpeast replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
LWX seems a little late with their morning update. Gun shy about this afternoon?- 2,785 replies
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
Terpeast replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
I wouldn't be surprised if areas that got no rain yesterday gets it today, and vice versa.- 2,785 replies
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
Terpeast replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
I think I saw the genesis of the cluster that went through NE MD earlier. Started out as an innocuous cumulus that didn’t really stand out. Only a few minutes later, it was a towerhead. An hour later, huge anvil covering the entire NE quadrant from my POV (ashburn). Blue skies all around it. Sour grapes for getting zip imby aside, it was a really cool progression to see from behind.- 2,785 replies
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
Terpeast replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Looks like we’re gonna get gapped- 2,785 replies
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
Terpeast replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Seeing some towerheads building to my NE now. Gray high clouds to my W makes it look like something is brewing, but hard to tell- 2,785 replies
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
Terpeast replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
90 at KIAD and a few other personal stations around and east of 15- 2,785 replies
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