Terpeast
-
Posts
5,326 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Terpeast
-
Funny thing is this December feels colder than last Dec outside of that arctic shot.
-
Haha, I remember that! I was yelling at the TV for not seeing that the storm was coming north, not OTS
-
Low of 27.7. Loving this “torch”!
-
Ya, you're right, that makes sense. Even on my own temp outlook map, I have NYC north under much warmer anomalies than I do for us here.
-
Canceling winter over +20 departures in Canada, because source region
-
Just looked at the models today. Not much change, I like what I'm seeing. I'm sticking with my outlook. I have no idea what the NYC subforum is so down about. They should be excited. Reading them, you'd think we're in a nina -PNA +NAO torch.
-
Makes sense. And late jan into feb is right in our wheelhouse. I wasn’t even expecting a HECS to occur before that, but it will be nice to catch a couple of minor/moderate events before late Jan
-
Only thing I’m checking is when we shift to a colder pattern - latest models show this on the 29th. I think that’s been consistent and no can kick, right?
-
It can work if a wave pushes off eastward towards us from a W trough that undercuts the -epo/-nao
-
My ignore list just got longer
-
Yeah I was thinking the same, but sub 30 degree here. Lots of 24s, 26s, etc. 26 low here this morning.
-
High of 41, blustery
-
Have to agree there. They seemed to have nailed Dec
-
You’ll be fine. You’ll be back for the big one if its gonna happen
-
Loving where the ridge is on the GFS. I agree with you on the NAO though.
-
Ensembles still look good for a pattern change on the 28th. Still no sign of a can kick
-
Nothing here, just cold. Glad to see others getting flurries and snow showers though!
-
No expert on GLAAM... but a lot of this is driven by the pac jet, no? So +GLAAM going towards neutral means that we'll see a bit of a retraction in the pac jet?
-
2.57” total in Ashburn
-
Just drove from Tysons to Ashburn, pouring. 1.2” here. Awful
-
Low 39.9, now 43 and foggy
-
Even if International Falls is +10, we can still hover near normal https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/58651-mid-to-long-range-discussion-~-2023/?do=findComment&comment=7085868
-
I think it was probably me that triggered raindance into his ongoing 2 month tirade against 2009. 2009-10 came up as the best match in my analog set, but it still wasn’t a great match. I was clear that 2023-24 is going to be on an island of its own, and that 2009-10 just happened to be the best looking horse out of a poorly matched bunch overall.
-
Low of 28.8 before the warm up
