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Everything posted by Terpeast
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Last year we never had a chance inside of 5 days. This year? Twice. Two heartbreakers in one month.
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Terpeast replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
It’s over. Will be lucky to see an inch out of this, and I’m usually one of the more optimistic ones- 425 replies
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Terpeast replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Cold and dry and then reload for Feb -
Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Terpeast replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Me. My wife has a good laugh every time she sees model panels on my phone- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Terpeast replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Still holding out hope for an inch or two, but I won’t lie… I’m tired- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Terpeast replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
True, its just one model run, but the trend has been going the wrong way for a while- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Terpeast replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Sounds like we’re only an inch away from a rug pull- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Terpeast replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
King euro is back?- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Terpeast replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
I’m thinking 12z tomorrow for much better clarity. But hopefully 0z will give us a clue whether the 12z runs today are onto a trend- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Terpeast replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
At least they moved west. Better than 0z- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Terpeast replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Concur- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Terpeast replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
We should probably root for a stronger cutter that occludes up in canada- 425 replies
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Terpeast replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
I don’t love the miller B look, which makes it possible for NW of DC to miss both upcoming threats. I’d be pissed if it happened -
Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Terpeast replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
At least we stopped the bleeding- 425 replies
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Terpeast replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Now we just need the Euro to nudge NW even just a little bit -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Terpeast replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Only a day earlier. Starts on 1/19 -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Terpeast replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yeah, so the PNA ridge on the GFS is not the problem, it's the orientation of the TPV and how it interacts with the s/w. That's going to be key, and the TPV is kinda all over the place at this range -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Terpeast replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
CMC definitely trended SE, as has the GFS. Let's hope this is the compromise that the Euro gets to -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Terpeast replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Another 2-4er on the GFS -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Terpeast replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
deamplified PNA, pos tilt, dry surface -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Terpeast replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
it's early, but I think it's a hold -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Terpeast replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
TPV bit stronger and a touch further north -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Terpeast replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Looks similar to yesterday's 18z -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Terpeast replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
At 57, TPV is further northwest Out west s/w similar, maybe a touch deeper/sharper -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Terpeast replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
looks like a 2-4er to me