Terpeast

Based purely on gut feel… upside is a wet 2” paste job NW of 95 before flipping to rain. I’ll take the stat padder while holding out hope for a last winter gasp end of feb or early march

Thanks to that one storm that defined the entire winter, this season has already outdid many of the winters I remember growing up here.

Low of 9

I think what PSU is trying to say is that the fast pattern flip in the pac takes a few days to affect the east. I know you said the time lag is 0 days, but I don’t agree. There is a limited window of time where we can still get a snowstorm before the warmup happens.

And that’s a wrap. Back to regularly scheduled storm tracking

Most boring superbowl I’ve ever watched. Halftime show was the most interesting part and I’m not trolling

Sounds like I didn’t miss much. I’ve pretty much tuned out all the commercials

The temperature part doesn’t surprise me, but the below average precip does

Great halftime show. Helps I know a bit of spanish

Very fragile setup, yes

In general… the quicker we can get the storm here the better, in this situation.

Pats have to be glad going into the half down “only” 9-0 with the way the offense has been playing. They need major halftime adjustments. Defense is playing well.

Only first half but Pats are in trouble

I’m going with the Pats!

Legit question. AI EPS has been one of the best models/ensembles in terms of verification at these lead times (one week or more). However, the best practice is to check how the same model has been trending from run to run. Even though the s/w trough on the AI EPS isn’t as sharp as the original EPS, it also has trended the same way as EPS did. The AI models usually smooth things out too much so they don’t do well predicting extremes (or sharpness of trough waves one week out). So my answer would be that both AI and non-AI EPS suites showed similar results for 12z.