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Terpeast

Meteorologist
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About Terpeast

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KIAD
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  • Location:
    Ashburn, VA

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  1. Terpeast
    Now there it is, that’s what we want. I hope the bad look is more confined to December. We’ve lost too many februaries in the last several years
  2. Terpeast
    That’s going to be too warm for “all snow” storms along i-95. If we could get that GOA low a bit west, the NA ridge a bit north or east, it’ll make room for a stronger and better placed trough over the SE with a pathway for cold enough air. It’s close to something good, but not quite what we need
  3. Terpeast
    Mostly in the southern hemipshere, STJ down there is insane. We’re not quite there yet in the NH but should couple better in the next few months as it cools.
  4. Terpeast
    Couple things to watch for is the source region as the STJ will almost be a given. If canadian temp anomalies are more than +20 (with Minneapolis +15 or Syracuse +10) it won’t be good for us. But if the temp anomalies are more moderate, we’ll still be in good shape for some opportunities.
  5. Terpeast
    Its possible, but the least likely outcome as psuhoffman says. It happened in 23-24 when that nino didn’t fully couple. This time it’s going to be even stronger and the PDO is rising, should be a well coupled event.
  6. Terpeast
    There’ll be two camps. Some will go warm and snowless, and others will call for at least one HECS event. Toss up, but I may go the former and then later root against my own forecast.
  7. Terpeast
    Let cape mix for once, bring that death band a bit west
  8. Terpeast
    Odd, it seemed to have backed west
  9. Terpeast
    0.92” with driving rain and strong wind gusts. Probably around 50 mph
  10. Terpeast
    Yeah he generally does better than the hype-y social media mets, and he still has a strong following. Amazing. If we get a blizzard this winter, he will triple his follower count for sure!
  11. Terpeast
    I agree with this. Although its getting warmer everywhere on average, we’re also seeing a lot more variance with wavier jet streams and stronger ridges that act as a double edged sword - bringing extreme heat underneath, and pulling down colder air from the upper latitudes of the ridges. This is a well researched and documented artifact of AGW. If we get periods of -AO/-NAO during this super nino, they should be very interesting.
  12. Terpeast
    0.91”. Missed it, was in a meeting and it got dark in my room
  13. Terpeast
    0.46" today so far, 2.33" MTD. Ashburn
  14. Terpeast
    I think there's been some conflation between the SST PDO pattern and the atmospheric pattern that drives this SST pattern. Many of us refer to the atmopsheric pattern that's driving the SST configuration as the PDO. I'm guilty of it, too.
  15. Terpeast
    It's not the absolute temperature of the water. It's the atmospheric pattern above it that's been the driver.
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