Terpeast

Also thinking the impacts will be moderate (maybe major) in the favored far NW places, especially in the valleys. Here? Maybe more like a nice glaze on trees to pretty things up for a couple of hours, and then it'll melt off pretty quick. Still be careful out there, all it takes is one little slick spot to break a hip. Thinking 2 hour delay for Fairfax Co. Loudoun will be a tough call because we span way out west towards the blue ridge where things could get bad in the morning.

Looks like a temporary blip. The feb 11-12 storm is there on the means, and milder air comes right after as the cold high moves offshore, then another cold air push in the 14-15 day range

Ice ice baby

Forecast low of 46. I’m at 36 now. Temps have been underperforming for 3 days now

So fun to get a FOLKS in here, whether it pans out or not!

Usually we see 3/50 members WITH a hit, and that's when we get interested in tracking. But 47/50? Geez

This is the best ensemble signal I have seen in a long time, if ever, for gulf/coastal low development at 9-10+ days out.

High of 36, lower than forecast

Don’t have much to add to the commentary about the ensemble snow means between feb 10 and 17. Big signal. But don’t have a well defined threat yet. It’s like blurry double vision from afar, and then as it gets closer, it’ll congeal into a single big threat and then maybe a smaller follow up that can’t be seen this far out. And that doesn’t even include what happens past the 17th, for which the euro weeklies have gotten colder.

The only other case I can think of is 1972-73, which It had a more negative PDO than any other analogs.

Stuck at 32

Paging @Bob Chill

Again, I’d rather be on the north side of a storm at range than riding the fall line. Like Aldie says

Hard to tell with the main line because its so noisy. But the group of yellow lines show more forward progress in the new run

Low of 19