Idk, warm nose all the way up to the M/D line. Week later we would still have mixed. End of month would have been snowier. It was just not a cold system this time.
Just checked all the mesos forecasts of 2m temp at valid 00z 12/2 (which is right now), and they are all too warm. The closest one is fv3
Doesn’t mean anything about upstairs, but surface is colder than forecast.