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BrianW

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Everything posted by BrianW

  1. One of the hottest summers here on record. New Haven's (HVN) departures. May +4.2 Jun +1.7 July +4.2 2nd hottest July on record. Aug +5.6 Hottest August on record. Sep +3.8
  2. Looks warm down here on the shoreline. Upton has 80s from Saturday all through next week here. In terms of weather, we looking at mostly dry conditions though much of the long term period. The only exception will be Monday and Tuesday, where we have just a chance of some showers. The best chances for showers will remain across the Lower Hudson Valley and Southern CT. Stuck fairly close to NBM for this range. If the front ends up being closer to the local area, expect rain chances to increase. Temperatures in the long term will remain in the 80s.
  3. When GON throws up the max high temp in CT you know its going to be a special one....
  4. Anyone else plant any morning glory? Ours went nuts this year. The growth rate of it is insanely fast.
  5. Don't worry. A few more years and you will be in climate zone 7a...
  6. You can really feel the dews out there. 79/68 with some light showers.
  7. Try some organic fertilizer. I have been using this which is made from scraps from a distillery. https://www.homedepot.com/p/Purely-Organic-Products-25-lb-Lawn-Food-Fertilizer-LFJRDK1/204279747
  8. What a special one with mid summer temps in September...
  9. HVN's rainfall. August was their hottest on record as well. July .97 Normal 3.36 August 1.0 Normal 3.55
  10. CAPE and instability, especially across Connecticut, will allow for isolated thunderstorms into early this evening, before CAPE weakens. Precipitable water values remain around 2 inches, and with a combination of relatively slow moving storms and possibly training storms, could lead to locally higher rainfall totals. A shortwave approaches late tonight along the frontal boundary to the west, and this will spin up a weak surface low. This will enhance lift across the region late tonight and continuing into Tuesday afternoon as the upper shortwave and surface low track south of Long Island. Precipitable water remains around 2 inches, and the highest rainfall totals will be possible during the day Tuesday. &&
  11. Upton's thoughts. CAMs depict the showers expanding in coverage later today as a weak frontal wave develops along the boundary, with the moisture slug gradually sinking south tonight. Much of the souther half of our area, including NE NJ, NYC, and Long Island, may remain predominantly dry through the afternoon, with the bulk of any showers over the Lower Hudson Valley and southern Connecticut. While an embedded thunderstorm or two cannot be ruled out, withlittle instability and weak shear, not too concerned about a severe thunderstorm threat. The abundant available moisture however, PWATs climbing to around 2 inches per BUFKIT soundings,along with the potential for training, brings the threat of torrential rainfall. After collaboration with neighbors, decided to hoist a flood watch for all zones running from this afternoon through Tuesday afternoon. RFC 1/3/6 hr guidance is fairly high over southern Connecticut and the Hudson Valley (where highest QPF lies). So while confidence isn`t particularly high given the longer duration of the event, along with expected rainfall rates generally under a half inch, short range ensembles are signaling the potential for heavy rainfall, particularly tonight into the first half of Tuesday, that could lead to flooding of urban and poor drainage areas. WPC has a slight risk for excessive rainfall outlined for the entire region both today and Tuesday. It should be noted that given the low water levels from the dry antecedent conditions, larger rivers and streams should be able to hold the rainfall without going into flood.
  12. Turned out to be a nice mostly sunny day. Upton's forecast high of 78 busted big here. 87/76
  13. New Haven (HVN) had its hottest August on record as well. Average temp of 78.5 with a +5.6 departure.
  14. Yeah. The video of that was crazy. He was doing somw crazy stuff like barrel rolls and flying upside down.
  15. I posted the other week about how warm the water is around here. Mid 80's in the protected harbors here all summer. The sensor out in New Haven Harbor has been 80+ for a good chunk of summer. Its at 78.1 right now. Look at Fall River. Normal water temperature is 71 this time of year and they are at 77.4. https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/coastal-water-temperature-guide/natl.html
  16. Your in Milford? Whats your rainfall there this month? BDR is .81 mtd. Normal for August is 3.87.
  17. Pretty much nothing for most CT stations. BDL .11 BDR .01 IJD .2 HVN .002 DXR .002 GON .007 OXC .03
  18. I'll try and find the article I just read about how all the coal plants out in Montana or somewhere have to start worrying about running out of cooling water to operate them. Some of those plants use like 16 million gallons of cooling water a day and the rivers are at record low levels. Those plants also power like millions of homes in a couple states so losing one of those would have a huge impact.
  19. Got the Davis online but I'm not getting any wind speed data. The wind direction is working so maybe I need a new wind cartridge that comes in this tune up kit? Check out the new station on Pt Judith. Appears to be the only one there according to the wunderground map. Anyone know the ideal placement? It's currently on the right in the picture on the pole in the bushes
  20. Maybe we can get the CMA to make us some fake rain...
  21. Thanks. I just found this link from OKX. https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=okx Wow. The record max 386 CDD from 2018 in your chart is almost certainly going be beat with 366 CDD month to date according to this chart with 3 days left in the month. Looks like 08/25 data is missing as well. My numbers of being close to double seem accurate. That also explains why everyone here has been complaining nonstop about their electricity bills..
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