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Calderon

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Calderon

  1. This is exactly what I was getting at. Let’s say you have a High risk but only 7 tornadoes. 1 EF5 and everything else is EF0/1. High risk does NOT verify by given standards from the SPC. .
  2. Well yeah, but 1 violent tornado won’t verify a high risk.
  3. Clanton was missed earlier but this may hit them head on, or at least nail the exit where Peach Park is.
  4. Oh look, a supercell going absolutely bonkers in eastern Tuscaloosa County. Color me shocked. .
  5. The cyclic Selma supercell that likely produced at least 4 tornadoes is meeting its fate in the mountains east of Sylacauga. .
  6. The cyclic supercell that started near Selma has a new tornado down in central Coosa County, near Weogufka.
  7. Likely about to get a sizeable tornado NW of Birmingham if it's not down just yet. Velocity continues to strengthen & tighten. EDIT: Confirmed as of 1426 CDT.
  8. That'll head up towards the eastern side of Tuscaloosa.
  9. This'll pass through a notorious tornado corridor in northern Birmingham Metro.
  10. Multiple vortex that just barely missed the city by less than 3 miles, thankfully.
  11. Tornado east of Clanton is occluding, new circulation rapidly intensifying to the SE. This area is incredibly rural with few, if any, structures for the new several miles. Sylacauga is in the line in a little over a half hour.
  12. It's velocity now east of I-65 is increasing rapidly with each scan. Likely large tornado continues. New CC drop becoming very prevalent.
  13. Confirmed tornado SW of Demopolis, per CC drop. Headed right at the regional town in rural western AL.
  14. I wish AL state troopers would block SB traffic at Clanton & NB traffic at US 31 near Pine Level on I-65 and let this beast of a cell cross, but they most likely will not. Tornado is occluding & we're watching handoff again on it to the SE.
  15. Large tornado confirmed over Billingsley, AL, per spotters.
  16. Destroyed chicken houses, so that's at least EF1 to lower-end EF2 depending on construction.
  17. Very large wall cloud, so far, confirmed east of Livingston, AL.
  18. Tornado in Autauga County is occluding and likely has lifted. New circulation developing to the SE of it.
  19. Thankfully most of Autauga & Chilton Counties are quite rural with most of these towns listed are not even incorporated, more like crossroads communities. That said, not diminishing the threat because it'll eventually cross I-65 south of Clanton near Verbena.
  20. Tornado confirmed with CC drop intensifying, best viewed from MXX radar versus BMX at this time. Also, that polygon, in my opinion, for Autauga County is angled too far south versus north given current storm motion.
  21. CC drop on Selma cell just to east of town now.
  22. I would also really watch the cell south of York, AL in Sumter County with it being both by itself and on a perfect trajectory for Birmingham in a couple hours if it maintains.
  23. Selma cell has a very intense BWER also. It could drop at any moment, if it already hasn't.
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