gravitylover

I'm not feeling the warming trends. I do see some mid level warmth, always did, so expect an icy component. That worries me because after the storms and excessive wetness last year there are a lot of weak trees so I expect power problems. Usually that would just be an unpleasant hassle but with the super cold air behind this it could be dangerous. Even though I know better I keep hoping the cold air press will overwhelm the warm push and we won't see anything worse than sleet.

^^ Yeah it hurts to read the storm thread. Waffle waffle, I give up, crushed, this sux.... Pain.

We have a tree guy coming to take down a couple of leaners this morning before the storm. One that was bad got much worse recently and is now at about 25* towards the neighbors bedroom so it has to go. I don't have time to analyze so I'll just ask, which model is initializing closest to the actual storm center? Does its solution for later look reasonable? Snow, ice, sleet, what's the plan and what's the timing?

Less ice less ice

Maybe .5. Looks nice though.

I prefer margaritas. 8-12? 4-8 maybe before the frozen stuff. If, IF, some of the posters in the main storm thread are reading things right I guess it's possible the storm center stays far enough south and offshore to keep the winds favorable up here leading to the higher total snowfall numbers. That sounding JC posted though kind of show lower ratios, here I'm thinking even lower than that 7 or 8:1, 5 or 6 seem more likely. I'd like to see a sounding for Danbury.

It was more like $1100 yesterday at my local HD.

A ride on is a strong consideration. The dic is suggesting I don't use a push type mower this year so one the is a mower and can handle a blade or blower is what I'd want but not sure I can afford it right now and storing something that expensive outside kind of bugs me.

Yeah that's the one I liked best, the 24 Deluxe. Glad to hear that you like it. The newest model has a clip that holds 2 shear pins so they're easily accessible, seems like a nice touch. I am curious about the Toro but based on how tough my Cub Cadet mower has been I think I'd lean that way.

I could almost see it if the bay was frozen and the ocean slushed over like last year. A sand bar that holds no heat at all would actually become a heat sink a few feet above sea level.

Haha no, when I said picked up I meant purchased. My wife did the lifting

Ice, snow, rain aaaahhhhh I just picked up 80 pounds of salt and 100 pounds of sand. Going to mix it 40/50 in 5 gallon buckets and put them at either end of the driveway. If I can't shovel at least we'll be able to move in and out. I also just spent some time looking at snowblowers for the first time seriously rather than just in passing. There sure does seem to be a significant difference between Ariens and most others with Cub Cadet not too far behind. It also seems that 2 stage will be more cost effective and lower maintenance over time. Am I reading this right?

When I lived in Tahoe forecasts like that were pretty common for about 7 weeks. Those periods were awesome.

I hope you have your shovel ready for this weekend

I didn't realize the eclipse on Sunday night is also a super blood wolf moon. Hopefully a good viewing window will open and it won't be unpleasantly cold out.

Check this out

I'm going to hold you to that.

At the moment it looks really good out there. Have fun dude!

You da man

Every year the first t-storm of the year gets earlier. The last few years it was February now it's early January. In years past I don't remember any in Dec but November for sure. Welcome to the new NC.

Thunder, lightning and heavy rain

After a rather rough start there's nowhere to go but up, I'm up to the challenge so now the weather needs to cooperate so we don't all have to go to a gym. We're going to dry out this year, it's going to happen. I have confidence

I'm just about 8 miles from where that Shrub Oak ob was taken and I got 2.6".

Well, shoot. My wife and I have been debating whether or not to commit to a 2 day outdoor event (in the hills of Dutchess County) on 11/3-4 to kick off holiday sales for her new small business. I'm not comfortable pre-paying for a spot that may be cold and wet if this end of the month scenario plays out to the cold side which appears to be the consensus at the moment.

Take that back No more, just no more...