gravitylover

Precip seems to have stopped. I've got about a half inch of mixed frozen stuff on the ground. 

What a mix out there. It was heavy wind driven snow for a while then flipped to heavy sleet and now it's both. There are all sorts of flake types and sizes from tiny grains and cylinders to huge parachutes.

Yup all snow with a solid easterly breeze @6-10.

Temp steady but DP is up to 19, snow is heavier and most importantly the wind is up significantly and E @10.  

2 minutes ago, CarLover014 said:

This is when I love turning to the traffic cams

We should have a thread with cam links all around the region. Hmm 

Flipped to moderate (all) snow here a few minutes ago. Alright time to get down to business.

23.7/18/NNE1/SN

DP up 2 to 17, wind is moving around to the ESE from the ENE it's been all day up till now and it's moderate to heavy sleet now and starting to accumulate. It just got dark too so I'm guessing that the cloud deck is thickening due to convection somewhere close.

Just now, tavwtby said:

yup, refreshed and I'm at 12 now.

I'm up to 17 now just a few minutes later and the wind is moving around to ESE rather than the ENE it's been all day.  FYI I'm ~15 miles west of KDXR.

1 hour ago, tavwtby said:

i can verify virga, it's extremely dry here, dew at 8, but the cloud deck has lowered in the last couple of hours, feels like snow out there, we'll see how long it takes to get saturated

I'm not too far west of you and mine jumped from 11/12 to 16 in about an hour.

22 minutes ago, Doorman said:

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=regional-northeast-02-24-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

994mb of winter spin on the way east ---with transfer at the coast Monday

That's a heckuva dry slot 

Holding steady at 24/ENE3/15DP (and rising) with showery mixed light sleet and rain.

I'd like to see what's going on upstairs. It's mixed sleet and rain here which tells me it's alternating layers of warm and cold with a warm layer pretty low down. 

Mixed sleet and rain, temp up to 24, wind is down to near calm but with more of an easterly component than it had been. 

Up a degree to 23, wind still very light NNE @ 2. There was a very short graupel/sleet shower a little while ago.

Graupel/sleet here too but only for a few minutes. Temp up a degree at 23 with the wind out of the NNE @ 2<>4. 

Up to 22 here, wind has gone nearly calm, ceiling to the north and east is still high with breaks in the clouds but south and west is gray and ominous. Are we going to see enough ice down here that I should be worried about the power going out? I haven't test run my generator in a long time :blush:

25 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

Wow @ the Berkshire high country with 3'+ Looks like Berkshire East is going to have their season nicely set up. 

I'm not real happy that the heavier focus has tightened up on the west side of the river and it's like it stole the moisture from the east side as I'm down to ~5" on this.

20*/NNE 3-5/DP 12* in Mahopac at ~750 feet where this particular station is a few blocks away from me.

3 minutes ago, Animal said:

Looks like it hammers nw nj 

IOW if it's good for me it's obviously doing the right job.

1 hour ago, West Mtn NY said:

May Storm King Mtn protect me from all warm intrusions to my South. The consistency of the Euro here has been remarkable and the NAM has joined the party. Steep drop off not far South though still sets me up for disappointment here in Cornwall on Hudson. Hoping the North trend is done. 

They took the snow out of my Sunday overnight forecast and changed it to freezing rain and sleet. It's time for a south trend to start. Added up the two day total looks like 9-12 here.

It's been a long time since we've had a good old fashioned long duration storm. Bring it!

6 hours ago, Hitman said:

Tight and twisty is what I think she should avoid.  Also, don’t you think 84 being south would be less likely or later to have accumulation on the roadway than 17?

Tight for a semi is different from what todays passenger vehicles handle without breathing hard. Even our Forester is comfy at 10 over through there. No I don't think 84/81 would be any better at all, in fact I think it will be worse. The Poconos get it just as bad as the Endless Mountains and southern Catskills in these setups, they all run similar elevation and are only separated by about 75-100 miles. Take a look at that WSW posted above and tell her to leave tomorrow afternoon or at 5am (not 7  ) unless she wants to wait for Tuesday. I have 20 year old twin daughters and there's no way I'd be ok with them heading into this on Sunday. It's going to take her at least 8 hours and probably more like 10 if she waits until 9am to leave.  It doesn't matter which way she goes she has to go over 1800 feet and will spend 100 miles or so above 1500, that's where this storm will really be firing on all cylinders.

1 minute ago, Hitman said:

Interesting.  In terms of traffic, I would think early Sunday morning, traffic will be less of an issue.  There’s no way I’m getting her to leave at 5am.  That would be ideal as she would get there before the onset even out there but that just isn’t going to happen with the college girl.

84 gets quiet but never really goes dead, it's just too important a route for trucks. 17 sees next to nothing for truck traffic other than local deliveries because the section east of Binghamton sucks. It's tight and twisty and the speed limit is too low. Speaking of speed limits watch out around Monticello, the troopers out of Thompson have some pretty high numbers to hit and they're aggressive. I got pulled over less than 1/2 mile from where it goes up to 65 doing 65 (in a 55) and it's crazy expensive. I get the college kid not leaving early thing (I have 20 year old twins that are juniors at West Conn)but this is one of those times where she needs to grow up and get it done. Either that or leave Saturday. What's usually a 4 or so hour drive will be 8 on Sunday.

48 minutes ago, Hitman said:

It will be practically December when this thing gets cranking so hopefully we’ll be ok.

i would also appreciate your all learned opinions.  My daughter has to drive back to school in Ithaca on Sunday.  I’m thinking, she should leave in the morning and maybe take 84 out to Scranton instead of 17 through the Catskills.  Looking like it doesn’t start snowing here until later in the day but out there it starts in the morning.  But I’m figuring 84 is bigger better than 17 and substantially south.

84 is a bigger road but also has more traffic. That does two things, one it beats up the snow on the road and makes it more challenging, the second is there are more other vehicles around to do dumb things and ruin your day for you. While 17 is a bit isolated in spots it's a good road and with less traffic should be fairly easy to travel on as long as it's not icy. I'd leave super early, like 5am, to get out ahead of it because once she pops north of 17 and is on the small roads things can get dicey in a hurry.

51 minutes ago, CIK62 said:

The last 2 days of November are averaging 38degs., or 5degs. BN 

Month to date is  -3.6[44.4].          November should end at  -3.8[43.9], or 0.5 less than last November.

31* here at 6am.

GFS is 2", CMC is 6", and EURO is 7" for Dec. 2-3.    Cobb Method is 2.1" of Rain! --- with some mixing.     Subsequent threats out to 10 days seem to have vanished, snow wise.

Do not expect to follow this on local radar.     It is down for 5 days during a software/hardware upgrade.    This is part of a nationwide program.

24 @ 6:30 with a really nice sunrise in progress.

That radar thing is annoying. Not because they need to maintain and upgrade it but that there isn't an alternative. The space between the NOAA radar sites is pretty good and gives reasonable coverage outside of the most mountainous areas and I've never had a problem with that, what gets me is an alternate system has never been put in place. Whether that system is gov't run or commercial it seems to me that there should be one but there isn't. Do airport radars have the ability to be used as weather radar in addition to their primary purpose? 

P&C for here has 80% chance of snow from Sunday afternoon into Monday morning. I guess I gotta get the driveway cleaned up so it can be shoveled, tomorrows project.