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kurtstack

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Everything posted by kurtstack

  1. kurtstack
    There will be some happy weenies with this qpf blast wednesday! Best of luck to all those playing the snow jackpot roulette! CHEERS!
  2. kurtstack
    AWESOME Thanks!
  3. kurtstack
    Hey guys just stopping in to say hi and let ya know i'll be helping to reel in this monster qpf snowmachine this Wednesday! It sure seems like its been a while for one of these! May your decks be filled with snow to the handrail by Thursday! CHEERS!
  4. kurtstack
    It would be interesting to see the average of all the submitted forecasts for each location and track how it performs as well.
  5. kurtstack
    Once a zombie always a zombie
  6. kurtstack
    BWI: 25" DCA: 19" IAD: 29" RIC: 14" SBY - 14"
  7. kurtstack
    This cutoff low setup to the south Feb 27 on this mornings GFS is the best setup I've seen this winter. Not saying much and analyzing a long range model, but hell if we get a cutoff like that in that location I think we have a fairly decent shot at a significant snowstorm. Lots of details to work out but not much else on the radar at this point.
  8. kurtstack
    between vday and pday we will finally will get a decent snowfall and salvage ehats left of winter.
  9. kurtstack
    Haven't been on much this year, but some things never change.
  10. kurtstack
    burke, va 22015 12/11 - 0.2" 12/16 - 0.2" 1/7 - 1.4" 1/18 - 0.2" total: 2.0"
  11. kurtstack
    BWI: 11" DCA: 8" IAD: 14" RIC: 5" Tiebreaker SBY: 3"
  12. kurtstack
    3” in burke light snow falling
  13. kurtstack
    7” in burke with steady light snow falling. radar and models suggest 1-3” more may be on the way.
  14. kurtstack
    6” measured in burke. We will see if we can add anything to it today, but even if we dont this was an awesome event love it!! Hopefully this is just the beginning of a noce 6 week period!
  15. kurtstack
    this is not necessarily scientific but i was in altoona, pa for the march storm and for the november storm and both times models had em on the northern fringe - forecasts 24 hours out were for a couple inches of snow - in both cases they ended up getting 10”+. forecast confidence for the fringe areas of storms is mighty low - its probably the most difficult area for forecasters with any storm.
  16. kurtstack
    Yup the models are pretty much in agreement. That being said ive seen the models all in agreement at 4 days and then all shift together in one model cycle. So there is still a slim chance. However we probably need to see that happen at some point tomorrow. Still think there is a slim shot we score.
  17. kurtstack
    we have numerous examples of beinf in the bullseye 4 days out only to see our storm end up too far north by gametime. not saying thats the case but we have been burned many times inside of this range.
  18. kurtstack
    we are still well outside of the range where we can throw in the towel on this. While the odds dont look good the northern stream is still jumping around with every model run and there is time for that to become better modeled. Bottom line the odds are not great but i wouldnt toss in the towel unless this model run occurred 72 hours out.
  19. kurtstack
    lets see how close we come on friday to matching this Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  20. kurtstack
    6z gfs is even more like jan 1996 at 500 mb Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  21. kurtstack
    Dont know if anybody has mentioned it and it is somewhat forbidden to compare 500mb maps of hecs to current modeled scenarios but I couldnt resist Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk kinda like a smaller scale 1996 look
  22. kurtstack
    Yep, 1996, despite a very short period of sleet. The wind drifts and accumulations across the area were best I've ever seen. Was living in Springfield VA at the time. I remember they couldn't keep the highways clear because of the blowing and drifting. The blowing and drifting really gave it the edge over the 2009-2010 storms.
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