ALY.. middle approach solution, still given their likely outcome here is 7.0", that at least warrants a WWA, if not a warning, seeing all offices around have already hoisted them, we wait...
During Friday night through Saturday night, a deep upper-level
trough will become neutral to slightly negatively tilted as it
approaches the East Coast. A favorable upper-level dual-jet
structure will lead to the development and rapid intensification
of a surface low off the East Coast as it tracks north to
northeastward. There remains high confidence a coastal low will
occur, but where it actually tracks remains uncertain. Latest
model suite is split on the track with some guidance more
intense and farther west (ECMWF/CMC) and others less intense and
farther east (GFS/NAM). Only the CMC is west of the 40/70
benchmark at this time. Upon collaboration with WPC and
surrounding offices, we continue to run a `middle approach` at
this time with the higher snowfall totals south and east of
Albany with little or no snowfall farther north and west.
Regardless, a fairly `wide goalpost` of snowfall amounts are
still possible. Cold, dry air north and west of this system will
likely lead to a sharp gradient in snowfall as well. Winter
weather headlines may be needed in later updates, but there was
not enough confidence on any winter storm watches at this time.