yeah the GFS had a sig for days back, just looked at the 1/24 18z run, and other than the SE placement of the SLP, it was pretty close to accurate, even had capture in the gom... but I usually take all model data, at all levels and extrapolate that out to an outcome, and of course having legit mets on here to further explain the mechanics of everything I don't know, is even better...imho, models have not gotten much better in the last decade for the amount of money put into upgrade..one would think with each day or event, data would add to the algorithm to further aid in it's discernment of possible outcomes, to the point it should be able to come close to nailing an event days in advance, but weather an uncertainty etc...