Eduardo
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Everything posted by Eduardo
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Nah I kinda disagree. For me, we've reached the point on the calendar where I just want sunny, warm weather (but am of course already hoping for a Nov 2022–Feb 2023 snowy tundra).
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It'll be back before too long. Personally, I'm all about late-season snow. But if it's not gonna happen, then I'm all for some nice Spring weather. Nothing worse than cold, dreary, BDCF-ridden Springs.
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I’ll add to the nostalgia of that one. I was living in SW Suffolk at the time and woke up to this. Incredible surprise!
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I don't think anyone on here is denying that we are in for a substantial (yes, possibly record-breaking) warmup over the next 7 days or so. But trends over the past few days undeniably seem to favor a shorter duration one and possibly a return to a colder, snowier pattern than we originally thought for at least the first half of March.
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That's definitely a look that could yield some serious cold for early March. Let's hope we get some more snow chances too. The lack of NATL blocking makes me wary, but we've done well even in times where it's been absent over the past decade. I'm def hopeful that the first half of March'll be fun before we close the shades!
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I will lose all faith in humanity if you defect to the warmanistas.
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This is roughly how I feel about the winter so far, although I am actually more hopeful that March gets us close to normal seasonal snowfall. The cold in January was nice, but I'm still waiting for the type of extreme cold that freezes the City waterways. Been awhile since we've seen that!
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Geographically, it's close. Demographically, a majority is below freezing since NYC is....
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Those are some incredible stats! Add it to our repertiore of extremes. Thanks for sharing.
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On outer-borough power lines? I think ice'd accumulate on those at 30 degrees. Roads and sidewalks in NYC are another story though.
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Awww everyone beats up on him, but I guess I have a soft spot for him and actually find his contrarian attitude pretty entertaining. Let's be honest: this place wouldn't be the same without him.
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That seems like a plausible outcome. If you are 50+ miles north or west of NYC, it's def time to pay attention. Down here in the city, a glaze can cause headaches, but 1/2" of ice can cause real problems up by you all.
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Yeah I mean, if you're here purely for IMBY info, then you're less likely to care. True enthusiasts actually enjoy hearing about our area's different climates and microclimates. That diversity of experience is actually a big part of what makes this hobby so fun for me!
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Hahahaha yes. Guaranteed!
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Nice post, Chris. Sign me up!
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I feel like we have this discussion/debate at least 7 times per year. Personally, I consider anyone who visits the subforum to be part of it, but that's just me.
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Yeah I see what you're saying. There's a higher-than-normal chance of legit ZR to the coast with this setup for sure. But, considering climo and the GFS's westward correction with this past weekend's storm, I'm thinking the coast and city'll dodge the bullet this time around. Again, I could end up wrong.
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This is a fair point. Still (and I could end up dead wrong), my money wouldn't be on a ZR event in NYC proper. N&W is a different story though.
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Same here. Hoping that it doesn't damage the pack too much and that it sets the stage for something more fun Sunday into Monday!
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Odds don't favor it, but a bona fide ice storm in the NYC metro would be nuts. I'm thinking that, just as it ticked back westward with this past weekend's storm, the GFS'll do something similar again. If I lived 50 miles north or west of the city, I'd be paying attention. Hopefully the next storm's just snowy!
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Yeah I was living out on LI for the ‘94 one, but I don’t recall seeing any footage of ice accretion in NYC. I’d imagine it must be pretty tough to get that in a major urban center like Manhattan. Was it unusually cold at the surface in ‘73?
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When’s the last time Manhattan had a legit ice storm?
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That March 2018 storm was insane! I was living on LI at the time. 18” of fluff that seemed to come outta nowhere! This was my driveway the next morning. Late-season “fluke” events become much more likely following a SSW. Can’t be ruled out if that’s what we end up seeing.
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Ya that'd be seriously problematic....
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We can definitely end up on the snowy side of this if that confluence presses a bit more. Would be a nice overrunning event!
