Jump to content

Eduardo

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    1,030

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Eduardo

  1. Eduardo
    Thanks so much everyone! We’ve been up there a few times and it’s become our wintertime happy place. As weenied out as I was (it snowed almost the entire time we were there), I don’t think city folk like us could ever make the move—though I definitely understand the appeal. Beautiful, picturesque town with some incredibly lovely people and excellent though. Can’t recommend it highly enough!
  2. Eduardo
    I’ll be thrilled to at least have it cold for Xmas, even if we can’t luck our way into some appreciable snow. Nothing worse than a true, balmy Torchmas.
  3. Eduardo
    2022 had and in-and-out cold shot centered around Xmas Eve IIRC. Regardless, if you’re looking for snow to the coast, this pattern ain’t it. I’m thinking there might be a short window or two later on in the winter though….
  4. Eduardo
    Got married on Saturday and am in Lake Placid for the week. If you like snow, consider visiting here!
  5. Eduardo
    Let’s face it, we knew this was coming last Xmas Eve .
  6. Eduardo
    Human psychology is a helluva thing lol. Singular model runs sometimes over-detect trends and then sometimes over-correct. The cold will almost definitely relax for the second half of the month, but it’s a good sign that we are seeing some this early. Also FWIW, I like the PAC look much more than I have for the past two winters. I think the 13-14 comparison is probably overstated, but unlike the past few years, I think we might get a few periods this winter where the EPO cooperates.
  7. Eduardo
    Mods can remove for off-topic, but I’m curious what you think has changed about it. To me, it’s the same, cheesy constellation of advertisements that, for some reason, I’ve always enjoyed watching since I was a little kid. Also, wasn’t it always on NBC?
  8. Eduardo
    I think that Chris (@bluewave) had some stats on this. There’s also a strong positive correlation between December’s AO and how that teleconnection plays out over the remainder of the winter, though I don’t know what impact, if any, ENSO has on that.
  9. Eduardo
    I used to really enjoy his enthusiasm 25 years ago when he was at AccuWx. But, even though I think he’s probably a decent person, he’s really just become like a cantankerous old uncle that refuses to adjust his views to new information. Given how seldom his hyped-up forecasts verify though, I wonder how he stays in business. He holds himself out as a consultant, but is he keeping his gig going with weenie subscriptions?
  10. Eduardo
    Oh no doubt about it! To be clear, I’m not in the it-will-never-snow-again camp. It will. But as an avowed retention snob who—perhaps sadistically—lives for any kind of cold during the fall and winter, things have been tough for me down here since ‘14–15.
  11. Eduardo
    Visiting you all from the NYC sub. I’m probably even more worried. Would love for it to at least feel like late fall here. After a decade of freakishly warm winters, I must admit, it’s actually starting to get to me a bit.
  12. Eduardo
    The Torchmas spirit we have all come to expect. Definitely a noticeable trend.
  13. Eduardo
    I mean, even if that were to happen (and that’s a big if), wouldn’t it be too little too late?
  14. Eduardo
    Me too, but isn’t it just a (perhaps weak) proxy for assessing other indices then? Even if it’s used solely for confirmatory purposes, why not just keep to the major indices, teleconnections, etc.?
  15. Eduardo
    Can you explain this (when you have time)? I’ve always been a skeptic myself—more so in recent years, obviously.
  16. Eduardo
    You might be the only person alive with the patience and dedication to work up a verification like this! Like many of you, I also grew up watching JB’s Accuweather vids and loved his enthusiasm. I still think he’s probably an all-around good guy, but I can’t for the life of me understand how a person with such scientific training can allow their brain to become pickled in the nonsense he puts out in almost crusade-like fashion. Fascinating, in a way.
  17. Eduardo
    “[M]aking an attempt” is accurate though, IIRC, we have seen some storms during the past few seasons that featured double- and even triple-maxima without completing a full ERC and weakening accordingly. Maybe someone else can chime in and double-check my memory though. Either way, ERC’s remain incredibly hard to predict.
  18. Eduardo
    I feel like this post should end up in some historical archive some day. I too believe that the ‘15-16 uber-Niño shifted the rules of the game and we’ve all been given a hard reminder that the state of the worlds largest ocean dictates much of the world’s sensible weather. I do think that, despite the warmer baseline, us I-95 snow weenies will still have periods where we cash in big. But it’s going to be feast or famine (i.e., more extremes) and, as the decades pass, probably more famine than feast.
  19. Eduardo
    I would also add that Chris was plenty bullish here and over on Eastern (IIRC) during the heavenly era we experienced beginning in the mid 2000s—and especially 13-14 and 14-15. He’s probably one of the most objective contributors in this community of ours.
  20. Eduardo
    Oh dear. As pretty as it looks my man, let’s not start torturing ourselves already…..
  21. Eduardo
    January…..2036
  22. Eduardo
    Still gotta get the boys to Bassfest!
  23. Eduardo
    Yeah seeing it from up high in Manhattan. Hope you all to my south are enjoying!
  24. Eduardo
    Heavy sprinkle incoming!
  25. Eduardo
    Oh wow. Nothing like that here (yet, at least).
×
×
  • Create New...