
Eduardo
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Everything posted by Eduardo
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Yeah if it still looks that ugly in two or three weeks, then it might be time to close the shades for a bit. As of now, I’m not too concerned though. When all else fails, zoom out and think back. Last November, we were roasting and fearing a snowless winter, but it actually turned out to be a pretty decent one for snow lovers.
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I mean, at least the PV looks slightly elongated there. I’ve seen way worse.
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Chris, what are some examples? IIRC, wasn't '96 pretty much ATL-driven? I don't think that's a good analog this year, but it shows that a favorable Atlantic can overcome a craptastic PAC.
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Plenty of solid years in that bunch and this is yet another factor that leads me to believe this won't be a total shutout. Niña's scare me, but we'll avoid a ratter so long as the Niña remains tempered and we manage to get some blocky periods.
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True, but for pack-retention snobs like me, 13–14 and 14–15 were incredible. The locked-in cold kept snow on the ground for a long time. Would take a massive -EPO-driven winter again in a heartbeat, even if it didn't feature blockbuster storms.
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OBS and nowcast now through - 6A Sunday(Halloween) 10/31/21
Eduardo replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Had a few gusts that were probably in the 45–50mph on Roosevelt Island with some thunder and lightning. Easily tops the last storm! -
I’d prefer less humidity. Be nice to open up the windows at night without the clamminess.
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Bookends winter isn't a bad rough call right now. Niña/stratwarm favors some early action, then we mild up before catching some more action in March when the wavelengths shorten. Still so many variables in the mix though and, as we all know, it ultimately boils down to blocking.
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Ah okay, so it's basically academic....
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Has Larry moved south of due west?
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Insane rain here in Brooklyn Heights. Just got back from Bermuda and the air outside here has the same tropical feel to it.
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I feel like we’ve gotten sneaky sting jets on the back sides of these recently (i.e., Irene, Sandy, and Isaias). Actually, IIRC, Isaias’s winds were strongest after the sun came out. What are the chances we see something similar here, assuming Henri takes a leftward jog after coming ashore?
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I actually just got back to JFK from Bermuda. Henri is on my tail!
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The NHC’s Hurricane-Warning criteria are definitely met, even if the point-and-click forecast doesn’t show it yet. I feel like the point-and-click forecasts lag a bit until local NWS offices and the NHC begin more closely coordinating their estimates. This happened with Isaias too, IIRC. Those numbers’ll come up a bit tonight, methinks.
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It’s amazing how much of a difference that 10-degree dewpoint drop makes! Feels great outside, even though it’s still pretty moist!
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
Eduardo replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Not a drop of rain (yet) in Brooklyn Heights, but things look like they're rocking up in Harlem and the Bronx!- 587 replies
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Could get very interesting if that same general pattern holds into the heart of hurricane season.
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
Eduardo replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Sky looked wild here for a bit and we got some gusty winds. But just a few raindrops was all that came afterwards. Not even a clap of thunder! Weird storm.- 587 replies
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
Eduardo replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Easily a gust to 50mph on the Brooklyn Heights Promenade. Seeing some sizable tree limbs down on Hicks Street, blocking traffic.- 587 replies
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SVR/FF potential late today-Friday June 29-July 2, 2021
Eduardo replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I’ve posed this same question here before too. Sometimes, the radar seems to light up once storms push far offshore. -
Nice downpour here now!
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Nothing but some rain drops and a few rumbles in Brooklyn Heights. Sky is quite dark though.