Eduardo
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About Eduardo
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I think that Chris (@bluewave) had some stats on this. There’s also a strong positive correlation between December’s AO and how that teleconnection plays out over the remainder of the winter, though I don’t know what impact, if any, ENSO has on that.
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I used to really enjoy his enthusiasm 25 years ago when he was at AccuWx. But, even though I think he’s probably a decent person, he’s really just become like a cantankerous old uncle that refuses to adjust his views to new information. Given how seldom his hyped-up forecasts verify though, I wonder how he stays in business. He holds himself out as a consultant, but is he keeping his gig going with weenie subscriptions?
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Blowvember - and not named for wind potential
Eduardo replied to Go Kart Mozart's topic in New England
Oh no doubt about it! To be clear, I’m not in the it-will-never-snow-again camp. It will. But as an avowed retention snob who—perhaps sadistically—lives for any kind of cold during the fall and winter, things have been tough for me down here since ‘14–15. -
Blowvember - and not named for wind potential
Eduardo replied to Go Kart Mozart's topic in New England
Visiting you all from the NYC sub. I’m probably even more worried. Would love for it to at least feel like late fall here. After a decade of freakishly warm winters, I must admit, it’s actually starting to get to me a bit. -
The Torchmas spirit we have all come to expect. Definitely a noticeable trend.
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I mean, even if that were to happen (and that’s a big if), wouldn’t it be too little too late?
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Me too, but isn’t it just a (perhaps weak) proxy for assessing other indices then? Even if it’s used solely for confirmatory purposes, why not just keep to the major indices, teleconnections, etc.?
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Can you explain this (when you have time)? I’ve always been a skeptic myself—more so in recent years, obviously.
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You might be the only person alive with the patience and dedication to work up a verification like this! Like many of you, I also grew up watching JB’s Accuweather vids and loved his enthusiasm. I still think he’s probably an all-around good guy, but I can’t for the life of me understand how a person with such scientific training can allow their brain to become pickled in the nonsense he puts out in almost crusade-like fashion. Fascinating, in a way.
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“[M]aking an attempt” is accurate though, IIRC, we have seen some storms during the past few seasons that featured double- and even triple-maxima without completing a full ERC and weakening accordingly. Maybe someone else can chime in and double-check my memory though. Either way, ERC’s remain incredibly hard to predict.
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I feel like this post should end up in some historical archive some day. I too believe that the ‘15-16 uber-Niño shifted the rules of the game and we’ve all been given a hard reminder that the state of the worlds largest ocean dictates much of the world’s sensible weather. I do think that, despite the warmer baseline, us I-95 snow weenies will still have periods where we cash in big. But it’s going to be feast or famine (i.e., more extremes) and, as the decades pass, probably more famine than feast.
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I would also add that Chris was plenty bullish here and over on Eastern (IIRC) during the heavenly era we experienced beginning in the mid 2000s—and especially 13-14 and 14-15. He’s probably one of the most objective contributors in this community of ours.
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Oh dear. As pretty as it looks my man, let’s not start torturing ourselves already…..
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January…..2036
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Still gotta get the boys to Bassfest!
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