I think we just follow the model runs way more closely during the cold months. In the summer, do we really care is a model says it is going to be 95 in 8 days and it turns out to be 88? Or if a model says 1.00" of rain and we get .4"? Unless I have outdoor plans, I rarely look at model runs from like April through October unless a hurricane is around the states. I know another board that tracks 100 degree days that the GFS and Euro models spit out per run for Philly. I think several times each year, models spit out record breaking 105 degree + days multiple times, and I think in 2024, the GFS spit out 100 or over for Philly over 100 different times, only too verify 0.