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Everything posted by Quasievil
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What a mess. Trying to understand how the 18Z NAM has a 1001 L way out over the Atlantic and then next panel jumps it way back WEST. Then throws zippo over almost all regions. Man that is a total dumpster fire
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<-tags in the Euro/NAM crew -> ok, boys, you’re up.
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I’m excited for your pbp.
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To be fair, the GFS has been waffling as well.
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My weenie thoughts exactly. This solution avoid the perfect phase for this latitude which as you said earlier, with Miller B's has a low probability.
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I'm not disagreeing with you at all. In fact, if you study the 12Z GFS vs the 18Z NAM at 500, it's pretty close. EDIT: NAM is just held back a little bit. Maybe that's enough? Who knows.
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Always a key rule to NEVER analyze or hype the NAM 84 panel but, that looks like it's going to go bananas.
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So you're saying there's a chance?
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Last few days have definitely been a roller coaster ride. We're out, back in, monster bomb, back out, back in halfway. Whew. I'm exhausted.
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Quasievil replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
It's all relative. I don't get "mad" about the IMBY posts anymore. East of DC had been a dumpster fire since 2016 before that Jan 3rd storm.- 4,130 replies
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- prime climo
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Quasievil replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Improved in the synoptics, yes. Just hope the surface bears a little more fruit in later runs.- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Quasievil replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
All we really need is the idea of it. We have that. Let’s move onto 0z.- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Quasievil replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Completely agree. Runs like that are why we pay attention to every. freaking. model run in the winter.- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Quasievil replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Anyone got a map for this?- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Quasievil replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Correct but a different timeframe (few days earlier). The 6Z from yesterday showed the storm similarly in the same timeframe.- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Quasievil replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
That looks like a wall of snow. HAHA- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Quasievil replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Funny thing is, it's similar to what the GFS showed on the 6Z run from the 20th. Bombed off the coast but didn't throw anything back into our area. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=eus&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2022012006&fh=222- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Quasievil replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
To be fair though, for the next 4-5 hours or so, I can fantasize about it. It's amazing taken verbatim. #fantasysnow- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Quasievil replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Quasievil replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
I haven't seen past 216 so not sure if it pulls further north or continues to the east. If it pulls up the coast from here, it's an epic bomb of historical proportions.- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Quasievil replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yeah but for who? NC/SC?- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Quasievil replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Gets snow into the area on 216 but the LOW shifts like EAST or something like that.- 4,130 replies
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Yeah, was seeing that as well just didn’t realize the difference it would make downstream. Now we see. Ha. Need more energy helD back there. Need to keep an eye on that feature as we move forward.
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Yeah, H5 looks really different. Not holding back the energy over the SW like it was in 12Z.
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Definitely proved the point over the last few weeks. Aren't they upgrading the GEFS? I read that on here recently me thought. I am getting old.