pondo1000

19 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

So.....post more then?


.

Meh, I just think there’s more people on here in Chi area. My post wasn’t meant to be a bust or anything. Just a fact. 

29 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said:

This thread died as fast as it started. Lol

If Chicago isn’t in the game, these threads always die off. 

1 hour ago, buckeye said:

As I said awhile back....its all fluff until it's inside of 48hrs showing the same solution on the euro plus 2 additional major models.  

Scoring in this pattern is like trying to get a rabbit pregnant by throwing it in a tumbling dryer with 10 other horny rabbits.   Sure it can happen but there's gonna be a lot more thump'n and bump'n before any hump'n.

Where do you come up w/ these!!! Love it!

So summarizing today on 16/17 “threat”:

12z GFS goes north 

12z Euro goes south (weaker)

Is that about right?

45 minutes ago, buckeye said:

The euro weeklies thru the 24th of January has a snowfall mean for us of 8-10"    I'm thinking it's 20-30 pennies,  8 -10 nickles, and a dime or 2.   

Guess beggars can’t be choosers

Seen this movie before. Stupid 15 day snow maps!

29 minutes ago, buckeye said:

all obvious caveats aside....  time of year, geography, and lead time....

...there's a pretty impressive signal from the euro and gfs ensembles of an OV threat day 10.    Notable because of the agreement across models this far out.   

Just once....one of these to come to fruition 

Mood flakes here 

31 minutes ago, buckeye said:

Looks like a couple inches... Amazing similarities almost exactly 5 years ago to the day.

So since everyone loves analogs, what was winter 14'-15' like?

About 3 here. If memory serves me correctly, that winter stunk around here!

Coming down real nice here. I don’t think I remember it ever snowing like this in early November since I’ve lived here (‘07). 

15 minutes ago, JayPSU said:

So, uhhh, it's 57F in CMH right now...back to back days.  I'm not holding my breath for the forecasted 1-3" of snow tonight, even with cold air crashing in.     

Wow! It’s only 47 here in Powell 

2 hours ago, A-L-E-K said:

 

It’s like your job to troll Buckeye? Good Lord! 

Shows how many actually care about the SAI anymore by lack of interest on this thread. Any updates?

17 hours ago, buckeye said:

...too many jokes about his daughter has finally taken it's toll.

Good to see you back pondo.  Hopefully we'll have something to discuss this winter other than the latest local met scandals and deaths.

Hah!!!

Yeah, I second that!!!!

4 hours ago, buckeye said:

gotta admit, I'm kinda jealous of the folks in the 'wet & wild' zone.

Also, what's happening in IL and IN?  Are they wet & wild too?   Figures we'd get donut-holed out of the fun.

Right? Wet & wild. Hmmmm.... Sounds like the Old Farmer’s gotta get his mind outta the gutter! LOL

Always get a kick out of these. “Wintry”. Yep, that covers it! LOL

On 9/1/2019 at 12:17 AM, Hoosier said:

Looks like 27.4" for the entire season. 

Thanks!

Can someone help with some intel? What was official snowfall total for Columbus, OH last winter? Thanks!

Absolute snow globe right now. Too bad it’s not January! Sigh.

Talk to everyone next winter. Have a great Summer! 

Ended up with 3 inches here in Powell. Of course, never stuck to the roads. 

1 hour ago, OHweather said:

Two separate waves have been signaled for that time period in the span of like 3 days, so I think there will be something to track.  The cold appears to be retreating a bit by then, so I have to think a more wound up storm that has ptype issues would be more likely with those waves...that said, at the least some front end snow is possible, we'll see if the cold can hang on and maybe allow for more (I have my doubts, but I've also been wrong before!)

Ok, cool. Thanks!

4 hours ago, OHweather said:

It’s suppression from the lobe of the polar vortex.  It’s what would’ve stopped this from amping with the PNA/AO/NAO otherwise supporting more of a cutter.  I’m a little surprised this is the way it went if only because it potentially benifits I-95 from BOS-PHL in a winter where they’ve constantly gotten screwed. 

That said the models still show snow for all day Sunday except for perhaps the northernmost portion of Ohio.  North of roughly Route 30 it will be rather ho hum just 1-2” probably, but I’d be surprised if central Ohio didn’t end up under an advisory for 2-4”/3-5” with some warnings for like 4-7” in far southern/SE Ohio where they do still get into a slightly deeper moisture feed as the storm departs.  Sorry this couldn’t turn into anything better...the pieces were there, but the alignment of the PV ended up too suppressive.  That said, it is still an accumulating snow...and I still don’t trust this not to pull a little last second amped trend as it moves east into the Plains tomorrow, though no it won’t be a foot like some Euro runs tossed out. 

Edit: So I'm on the record here's my first attempt.  I think the low end will be met, we'll see how widespread the high end is.  With this being a light to moderate daytime snow in March, impacts kind of muted where you're not getting 4"+...so essentially, widespread snow, but also blegh.

 

Thanks man. Hey, what’s your thoughts on maybe another in the 8th-10th time frame? 

12 minutes ago, Angrysummons said:

The real problem with this isn't the PV, but the trough is to weak due to the s/w being sampled as a ho hum piece of energy. It needs to drive the trough into a sharper, better dynamic system.

Thank goodness we have your expertise in this forum! 

14 minutes ago, OHweather said:

CMH reported 1” last hour with 2” on the ground, which will push them to around 25” on the season.  If you’re not careful you’ll be into the 30s by Monday morning.  Average is 26-27” for the season. 

Wow. Incredible how nickle & dimers add up! 

2 hours ago, buckeye said:

There was a time not too long ago when a euro solution like that, (day 4), could almost be taken to the bank.   Fast forward, now it seems the euro has about the same fail rate at days 4+ that any other model has.     If it's still showing that kind of i-70 hit job on Friday's 12z runs.... I'll start to get pumped.

So true, but what changed with the model? Weird. 

What’s the 18z Euro looking like Buck?