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Everything posted by tamarack
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Same as here - great rad night. HOU and PQI had -19.
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Long enough to have landed the space shuttle. In the early 1980s a couple of co-workers (one a private pilot) were flying back to BGR after a forestry conference in NM and there was a wicked crosswind. The jet hit a bit hard and bounced, that wind caught and lifted the right wing, and the airplane was significantly tilted. The private pilot thought "here we go!" but the crew up front realized they had another 10,000 feet of runway, plenty of time to juice the jets and stabilize the craft without needing a go-around.
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Hope so, as my wife is scheduled to fly home from FL (visiting her sister there) on Thursday. Morning AFD from GYX has the storm a bit earlier than previous discussions, snow mostly done by early afternoon. Her flight is scheduled to land at BGR about 5 PM, which probably would be okay, unless that airplane is doing 2 St. Pete/BGR cycles (don't think so), which would mean a BGR takeoff about 9 AM on cycle #1. Another low-QPF fluff event would be fine.
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Finished with 2.2" and 0.17" LE. Just a refresher here, happy for the folks in southern Maine.
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Tiny flakes, 1.9" with 0.15" LE and 15° at 7 AM. 2-3 was the right call here.
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An engineer would say the glass is twice as big as needed. No biggies here since early Dec (9.3") but lots of interesting things to ponder. Sure beats the 50 days of (mostly) boredom following that storm.
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Tracking February 6. Light to moderate event potential
tamarack replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Got that 'nother tenth. Snow burst (little wind) dumped 0.5" in <10 minutes, centered on 8:50 this morning. Visibility dropped to <1/8 mile. Another flurry (0.1") while I was out shopping. -
Tracking February 6. Light to moderate event potential
tamarack replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
2.6" here at 9, might get another tenth or 2, so not quite into the 3-5 range. The 11:1 ratio was closer to the usual, after 3 events with ratios over 20:1. Today's temp was 11/-14, one of the colder snowy days in recent years. -
Tracking February 6. Light to moderate event potential
tamarack replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Same temp here, up from -14. First flakes 11:25, now looks like moderate. -
2" in Fort Kent.
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Tracking February 6. Light to moderate event potential
tamarack replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Understandable, but here the post-equinox snow was such as to un-rat the winter. The 40.9" topped even the spring snowfall in Fort Kent Also, 2 of the 3 storms were overperformers: 1-2 became 5" on 3/21 then 10-16 for 23-24 verified at 22.0". The 13.9" in April landed within the 12-18 forecast. Edit: The Farmington "triad" grew up in the afternoon forecast. This morning it was 1-3-4 and now its 2-4-7. -
Tracking February 6. Light to moderate event potential
tamarack replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Our average here has hovered near 90" as we reach the middle of our 27th snow season. From purely a snowfall aspect, anything in the 80s or 90s is near normal. 70s is BN and 60s near ratter (or full ratter on a mega-frustrating season like 2009-10), <60" is down the rat hole. Subjective values come into play - sustained pack despite near-ratter snow (2002-03) elevates a winter and so would one or more events 12"+. Nearby bombs while we mostly watch (Nemo, 14-15) downgrade winters. -
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Back to normal. Last 2 totaled 20.0", lowering the average a full inch, to 21.9".
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Tracking February 6. Light to moderate event potential
tamarack replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
The ride from Northern Door motel in Fort Kent to Deboullie is awesome. Find lodging in St. Francis or Allagash would shorten the trip, though the 15-mile rail trail along the St. John has its own awesomeness, looking into Canada the whole way. The run of air-snow has been fun - another 9.5" from Jan 29 thru last night - but a snowstorm with more than 0.2" LE would be welcomed. -
Tracking February 6. Light to moderate event potential
tamarack replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
That 5-year period in NNJ - March 1956 thru February 1961 - produced a run of big dogs beyond anything I've seen anywhere else. The fact that the previous 5 winters ranged from poor to ratter merely emphasized the abundance. The storms: 3/18-19/56 24", low 20s powder 4/8/56 12", classic birch bender 2/15-16/58 18", with blizzard conditions and temps falling thru the 20s/teens 3/34/60 18", with temps upper teens. School let out at noon, already 8" new 12/11-12/60 18", with temps low teens, 1st day of NJ firearms deer season 1/19-20/61 20", temps upper singles to low teens 2/3-4/61 24", temps mid-upper 20s. Some guesswork for depth, major blizzard conditions In 1961, Jan 19 thru Feb 3 NYC temps ranged from -2 to 29. That 16-day run of sub-32 is easily the site's longest. -
Tracking February 6. Light to moderate event potential
tamarack replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Saw it once, way back when I was in HS. January 15, 1961 was a Sunday and my dad and I went ice fishing that afternoon. Caught almost nothing, in part because steady ZR froze on the traps, making them non-functional. About 1/4" accretion when it changed to SN in the evening, with 6" new at sunrise. 95% of the time, an event like that would close the schools, but they had lost 2.5 days in December and a bigger storm was on the horizon, so off we went - no accidents AFAIK. Thurs-Fri brought a 20" blizzard (Fri was JFK inauguration day in snowy DC) costing another school day and winter's biggest on Feb 3-4 yet another. Fortunately for schools, that was a Fri-Sat event with Monday off because plows had no place to push the stuff; NJ had depths 30-50" after that one. -
Different architecture (and magnitude so far) but frequency like Feb 2008. He sucked on the pats They essentially replaced him for Meyers, with ugly results. 2023-24 stats for each: Catches Yards TD Ju-Ju 47 491 3 Jacobi 158 1834 12
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Sunday Evening/Night Light snow event Disco/Obs
tamarack replied to Sey-Mour Snow's topic in New England
3.0" here, but with only 0.15" LE it's leave/pack, as I ran the blower thru the 6" from the previous 2. In 3 days, February has 1.3" more than all of January, and we've had 3 events with ratios 20+ in 6 days, 9.0" total from 0.42" LE. Pack is up to 14" but the top 6 is vulnerable, all from the fluff gang. Tonight's potential mix'n'mess, though minor, may squash things down a bit. -
Another 3.9" from 0.18" LE. Two events in 3 days, barely over 1/4" LE (0.27") fluffed out to 6". Only swept the porch steps on the 30th, blew the combo in 4th gear on the snowblower. (Would've moved just as well at 6th gear but my knees wouldn't.)
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50% chance here, no depth stated. Dusting? Sunday night looks better, unless it goes away like tonight's. (Or warms too soon,)
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88-89 was total meh in Gardiner, where we then living, nothing big, lots of messy but weak storms. Highlight of that snow season was 1.8" the night of Oct 8-9, the earliest 1"+ event I've seen, by nearly 2 weeks (10/21 at Fort Kent).
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Constrained by P-type south, QPF north. Big spread in the GYX 90%/most likely/10%. At Farmington it's zero/2"/7". Pittsburg's 10% is 11". Still some N/S wiggle room on a fairly weak system.
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For those who haven't reached the age of 3.