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Everything posted by tamarack
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In 1980 I was living at 47.13° N and averaged 133"/yr. Now it's 44.39° and 89". The snowfall/retention ratio works both ways - last winter I had 111% of average snow but only 2/3 of average SDDs. Max depth was 22" compared to average max of 29.
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That winter was a great example of less snow/more pack. Snow total was 50"+ lower than our average winters in Fort Kent, but 3 March storms totaling 25" lifted the depth to a respectable 36", only 2" below the 9-year average peak.
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Not just the West. Here's a week in Fort Kent less than 3 months after we moved (on Jan 1, 1976) into an apartment there, near the St. John: 3/19 24 -25 T 0.2 3/20 50 19 T T 75° rise in 32 hours 3/21 53 38 0.30 3/22 40 5 T 0.1 3/23 34 -7 T T 60° drop in 40 hours, 3/24 52 20 0.10 0.8 and . . . back up 59 in another 34 hours. 3/25 52 35 T T from TT: Mt. Snow is very far south, it's not very high, it's March, and any hugger/cutter + sun angle is going to really roast them. Overall pattern that I see (12z gfs ensemble, indv members) for that period looks somewhat dicey too I guess 3,600 asl isn't very high. And most slopes there face east.
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That 20-spot in SNJ is right where our grandkids live. Verified there with 1.5" and within 4 hours of when it stopped there was no evidence it had ever been.
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21" here. Had 17" total from the very dense T-Day and early Dec powder storms provided enough to keep the ground white - never dropped below 6". This recent storm is the only one with real meat since that early pair, though we got 6.3" of 15:1 fluff on 12/24.
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The long-term (but sadly, no longer) reporting at the Farmington co-op recorded from Jan 1, 1893 thru May 2022, with the LT annual snowfall of 90". T(or zero) Dates <6" NOV none 13 (only 2, 12 thru 30, lowest 1") DEC none 3 (13th, 19th, 22nd, lowest 4") JAN none (lowest, 7" on 22nd) FEB none (lowest 6", 3rd - twice) MAR none 4 (only 1, 1 thru 24, lowest 4") APR 1 10 (none 1 thru 15)
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New England Winter 2024-25 Bantering, Whining, and Sobbing Thread
tamarack replied to klw's topic in New England
Comment on those videos seems logical. For whatever reason, the airplane hit too hard, crushing the rear landing gear. When the right wing broke off the left was still providing lift, hence the rollover. -
After 26 winters, thru 2023-24, our 89" average is evenly split - 44.5" thru Jan 31 and 44.5" Feb 1 on. Some winters are wildly different: 2005-06 (a ratter) had 85% by Jan 31, while the next year had only 19% by then, thanks mainly by a record-shattering April. Current medians are slightly apart - 44.8/43.9.
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For glare ice the best medicine might be wood ashes - might even be better than sand. Of course, most places allow homeowners to get sand from the town's sand/salt shed while the ash requires an even more local woodstove.
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Met winter temps have been running BN, but the DEC pattern was different from JAN-FEB. The new year hasn't gotten above 37 so far here while DEC had a trio of 2-day thaws, 11-12, 17-18, 30-31, that had highs 42-48 with minima running 16° AN and 3.30" RA.
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In January 1965 I headed out to ice fish on our 50-acre lake, the rain having quickly plunged thru ZR to IP, 30s/20s/upper teens, pelting we idiot anglers all day. Next morning the temp was rising and the precip ZR, ending late aft and leaving 1/2" ice atop 2.5" IP. Having forgotten my creepers, I had a wicked nasty time getting off the lake - couldn't even stomp a dent into that stuff. Next day kids donned ice skates and cruised thru their yards. NYC stats: 1/23 47 24 0.64" 1.0" max at 12:01 AM 1/24 32 24 0.51" 2.2" max at 11:59 PM
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Adding that 4.5F to my March 4 average would produce 37.0/15.3, not bad. But how many maps like that have we seen since the New Year, and so far we had only 3 days get over 32, topped by 37. Maybe this one pans out.
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Most I found on cocorahs was 11.7" at Castle Hill, but they're forecasted for several more inches, so some storm totals might reach 15"+. Here we got 6" of 12:1 powder thru 2 PM, followed by 7 hours of SN/IP (tiny critters) that added 1.5"/0.35" LE while pounding that first 6", then another 1.5"/0.12" back end. Storm total came to 8.0"/0.97" LE, pack at 22".
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About 6" new. Sleet mix arrived 2 PM, very small IP and tiny flakes. Now much happening now - even smaller IP with fog and low teens.
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GYX' forecast for Farmington: Tonight Snow, mainly after 1am. Low around 11. Calm wind becoming northeast around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Sunday Snow before 4pm, then snow and sleet between 4pm and 5pm, then sleet after 5pm. High near 16. Wind chill values as low as zero. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible. Sunday Night Snow and sleet before midnight, then a chance of snow between midnight and 2am. Low around 15. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Rather cold for sleet. Farmington's 90%/likely/10% is 3/7/13. All-snow Fort Kent has 10/20/24.
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Today makes 26 days w/o getting above 32 and 42 of 45 this year. Last month's max was 37 and despite some mild and wet days in December, we've had white ground since Thanksgiving - first time since 2019-20. Edit: Miller A is spelled "out to sea" here. (With a few exceptions)
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The Fort Fairfield-CAR-PQI triangle might be the blizzard capitol of New England. Maybe add Limestone for a parallelogram.
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That's 10.5" more than we had in the Maine foothills that winter. Only need another 0.5" to match that ratter. Odds look good.
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Only 5.5" at HUL but 10-11" at PQI, Castle Hill. Also a bogus 13" from Hermon. Next town east (BGR) had about 1" at the AP (and no problems on my wife's flight from FL). 2.0" from 0.41" LE, thanks to tiny flakes and tiny IP. High temp was 19.
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Not for the first time. Some actual flakes in sight. We've had 4-5 periods of real flakes, none lasting more than 5 minutes.
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Tiny flakes became tiny flakes plus tiny IP about 12:45, temp upper teens, 1.1".
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We're in the 3-4" color. Maybe reached the 1" mark after 5" of very small flakes and radar upstream isn't very exciting. I'd be surprised if we get more than 2". If we finish right at 2", we'll have had 7 snow events in 16 days for 17" total. A weird sequence, but it certainly could have been worse.
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Only one winter here with 3, 2013-14, with our least snowy January bracketed by Dec, Feb, Mar. That January had significantly BN temp and significantly AN precip to go with <25% avg snow.
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My threshold for a big snow month is 30" - we've had 22 such months in our first 21 winters here, never more than 2 winters without one, but the most recent was January 2019. Maybe the coming 3 storms thru 2/20 can produce a 17"+ total; if not, this will be the 6th in a row w/o a 30-spot month as March looks to be a long shot.
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Or US Rt 2 for the northerly one.