tamarack

Pack dropped to 6" but the 4" of bulletproof base held up. Just got dusted in a flurry.

It's in a 4-way tie for mildest January day, with 8/08 standing tall with 56. Still near 40 here with light rain after a bit over 1/2". At 7 WVL was 33 with light SN - can't recall a previous time when they had snow while we were mild rain. Not sorry the ice is underperforming!

Topped out at 50 or a bit above at my place. FVE had 34 with flurries at 4 PM.

The woods pic reminds me of when we drove thru LES on I-80 in western PA early in 2012. That was the view of the thick stand of trees on the median, though I didn't dare more than a quick peek. We could see the 4-ways on the car ahead of us but sometimes not the flashers on the next one in line. I guessed 6"-per in that one but obviously couldn't verify.

20 mm is usually the threshold for serious tree and infrastructure damage. GYX has my area progged for about half that.

I've read and heard from more reliable sources that arson is suspected in a number of the Australian wildfires. That doesn't change the fact that abnormally hot and dry weather (at a time when climo is already hot and dry) is making those fires far more catastrophic than they would be with normal weather, and far harsher to those trying to control the fires.

I'd have thought that 2-3,000' falling thru mid 20s would freeze the raindrops solid, but those in the know say ZR.

Winter storm warnings posted for all but coastal Maine. Big snow up north, siggy ice Rangeley to Danforth? Flood watch for much of VT.

Many years ago I read in Appalachia (AMC's magazine) that folks discussed the "MWN Glacier" after 68-69 but that the Tucks snow didn't quite survive the warm seasons. The Pinkham Notch co-op had recorded something like 320" (MWN over 500) that winter and the co-op's pack reached 164" at the end of the 77" dump in late Feb '69.

I think that a site with MWN's average annual temp but on level ground where the 250"+ snowfall didn't blow away would have glacier-starting potential if it had a several-year run of AN winters. For the 9 winters 68-69 thru 76-77, MWN averaged 420" - might be enough in a cold valley that makes a 150"+ pack out of that much snowfall.

I've yet to have a 5"+ pack go to zero in met winter; closest was the 4" on 12/8/06 disappearing by the 13th. We did have 9" go to bare ground Nov. 23-28, 2011. When we lived in Gardiner (not particularly CAD-rich) a 12" pack on Jan. 3, 1995 was gone after the 16th - 2 days of rainy 50s with overnight mid 40s will do that.

Great fun reading about this event. We escaped without a flake, as there was a wide gap between lighter SN to the north and the whiteouts to the south.

I've been tracking that and call it "retention metric." At my place it's varied from 10.55 (05-06) to 31.53 last winter. This calculation shows well the snowpack difference between my CAD-king/synoptic snow area and J.Spin's fluff/low-CAD site, as my average 07-08 on (start of his full records afaik) thru last winter is 21.80 while his is 9.21.

Hoping for IP. That saved my current woodlot in 1998 - it took some damage but probably less on the 62 forested acres here than on the 0.8 acre house lot in Gardiner where we were living when that storm hit. Zero IP there. (And not just worse on a per-acre basis, but less total tree damage.)

0.5" at 7 AM, maybe a tenth or 2 afterwards. A month of teeny snow events so far, though that's preferable to what Saturday looks to bring.

Maybe a bit more frequent for me. For my area where winter is pretty consistent with regular snowfall, I'm defining "ratter" as <75% average snow and significantly AN temps for DJFM. That omits 02-03, which met the snow criterion but was very cold. Winters meeting those criteria are 99-00, 01-02, 05-06, 09-10, 11-12, 15-16, so 6 of 21. Worst were 05-06 and 15-16 (10-year repeat?) 09-10 had 15-20" more snow than those 2, but is in the race to the bottom due to the frustration factor - 4 EC KUs that winter, and we got 3 whiffs and #4 was the most unpleasant double-digit snowstorm I ever hope to see, Edit: I think 75" would be close to long-term climo for your site, about 20% higher than PWM.

If those are nickels and dimes, my area must be getting ha'pennies. This morning's half inch (maybe 3/4 by the time it ended) marks the 4th snow event of the new year here, and they total about 3", not 14. Keeps the surface looking fresh, at least, though the weekend may leave a bedraggled pack topped by a few IP.

Midpoint for HDDs at my place is Jan. 21, though for heating purposes it's probably a week earlier due to increasing 2nd-half help from the sun. Midpoint for snowfall is currently Feb. 1. Though I'm in a colder climate than that of most New England sub-forum posters, the relationships elsewhere in the region should be similar.

The analog to the Tolland Triangle on I-84 has struck again on I-95 between Newport and BGR. About 30 vehicles in a chain reaction accident this AM, evidently due to blinding sun, with the northbound lane totally closed (may have reopened by now) and hundreds of vehicles stuck behind the mess. It's 5-10 miles north of where nearly 100 cars and trucks wrecked when hit by a sudden snowburst from an otherwise weak storm 4 years ago. At least one serious injury in today's mess, life flighted to a BGR hospital, and several lesser injuries.

You are correct, sir! With relatives in Hawaii and Japan, neither of which observe daylight savings, I'm perpetually confused about what time it is.

2 AM, not that it makes much difference. Looking at recent GFS run sequences is producing whiplash. Repeat of March 2011, when NVT got buried and Eustis had 19" while 40 miles away I had 2" IP followed by outage-producing ZR? (This following rainy 40s the day before.)

In 2 days GFS has gone from 50s RA to a high qpf event going thru RA and ZR/IP to serious SN and back to 50s RA with maybe a dusting at the end.

Very modest "extremes" in temp the past 2 months. My mildest since Nov. 5 is 46, and except for the brief -9 on 12/21 my coldest has been -2. Since my current average minimum is 6° and 2 weeks from now will be 2°, temps have been AN and meh, especially since early December. Another little snow event yesterday, quite different from the day before. That earlier one was RA to SN, an inch of 10:1 that frosted the twigs. Yesterday it was 1.1" from 0.04" LE in dry flakes and evening feathers. Maybe 3 +/- one-inch events in 4 days with tomorrow's entry?

That ukie run started at 8 this morning, so includes whatever was progged from the current little duster.

Perhaps the most awesome inversion I've seen from GFS - can't recall ever seeing modeled temps colder at H9 than at H5 (and 13C below H8 for AUG.) Verbatim AUG's 1.5" qpf looks 1/4 RA, 1/4 ZR/IP, 1/2 SN in that order. Highly doubt that sequence.