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Everything posted by tamarack
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1953? 12z GFS changed a nice hit to muckymess all the way to Moosehead. D5 storms have been adept at slip-sliding away.
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Winter 2020 New England Banter and General Obs
tamarack replied to CapturedNature's topic in New England
There are way fewer logging camps now as both American and Canadian crews prefer going home each night and access has improved to make that practical. Those border mills in Quebec began sawing American trees a century ago or more, at least a generation before Pinkham and Levesque built mills in the Ashland, Maine area, giving those PQ mills an advantage in marketing and sawmill efficiency. Also, much of the forest lies considerably closer to those mills than to the ones in Maine. For example, wood west of the Allagash on the Round Pond public lot is 25-30 miles from the St.-Pamphile mills and 70-75 (against most loaded log truck traffic) from the Maine mills so spruce-fir and cedar go west while hardwoods come east. -
Winter 2020 New England Banter and General Obs
tamarack replied to CapturedNature's topic in New England
Very true, even though nearly all that area is managed forest and well roaded, though less than half get plowed in an average winter. -
I tried deleting your highest and lowest winters (kind of like Olympic diving judges) and the other 11 averaged 159.2", so 160 is looking good. January stats/averages: Max: 30.00 4.51 AN. Mildest was 50 on the 11th, tied with 3 other days for 2nd mildest behind the 56 on 1/8/08. Min: 10.68 6.90 AN. Coldest was -17 on the 18th. Mean: 20.34 5.71 AN and 4th mildest of 22 Mildest mean was 38.5 on the 11th, coldest -2.5 on the 18th. Precip: 2.64" 0.57" BN, greatest day, 0.76" on the 12th. Snow: 15.6" 4.0" BN, greatest day 4.8" on the 16th. Greatest depth was 16" on the 19th and average was 10.9", 1.2" BN. Kind of a meh month, as was December. Hope February is more interesting.
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Winter 2020 New England Banter and General Obs
tamarack replied to CapturedNature's topic in New England
The rocks on Katahdin tend to be solid though the frost can loosen some. When I was on Oahu (lower elevations only) in 2016 the volcanic rocks looked rather crumbly, which would certainly up the degree of difficulty. Amazingly, I've not heard of fatalities or major injuries from falls off the Knife Edge, though a winter climber died (1978?) when the group was hit by a sudden though forecast drop into the -30s with Cat 1 winds, and 2 died in October 1963 when the first tried coming down Chimney Ravine, got stuck so a park ranger climbed up to help, and they both perished as the tail of a tropical storm brought cold, wind and snow. It was May before the bodies were recovered. And I have to admit that Knife Edge looks scarier now than it did in 1973 when I was trotting on the easier sections between Baxter and South Peak. The real challenge was at Chimney Peak, where a group was halted while climbing the (easier) west side due to a panicky hiker. I went around them but when I reached Pamola and looked back the clouds were rolling in so I needed to get back to dad and head down ASAP. Unfortunately, that group was descending the east face of Chimney and the scared hiker was spread immobile across the trail like a starfish. Being young and stupid (I'm no longer young ) I did the go-around once more, a move which included hanging over a 100'+ drop without protection. The double traverse took me 1:50 for the 2 miles, and we hit rain just after we passed Thoreau Spring on the way down. Dad had hiked his scout troop over all the AT in NNJ and SNY so climbing the trail's northerly 5 miles was a lifetime goal. -
Winter 2020 New England Banter and General Obs
tamarack replied to CapturedNature's topic in New England
So the 2nd one includes the entire Knife's Edge? Walked that trail (both ways, father in law with achy knees waited at the summit) in 1973. Can't think of a more heart-in-mouth trail open to the general public in New England. The sides of Chimney Peak (last one before Pamola) were special fun. Met a family on the trailwho had been there a year earlier, also in early August, and they had to walk just below the trail on its south due to the windblown sleet. -
Winter 2020 New England Banter and General Obs
tamarack replied to CapturedNature's topic in New England
Looks like Chimney Pond seen from the Knife Edge trail, then Pamola from near Baxter Peak (the summit.) Maybe I was thinking of Big Squaw Mountain in Greenville. Their webpage was not loading for me so not sure if they are still open. It's open to midstation as a club area, almost certainly natural snow only. Me too! I'd also like to see that Eagle Lake region. Allagash Waterway or northeast Aroostook near the town of Eagle Lake? (Or Acadia - there's a sizable Eagle Lake there, too.) The 10 years I lived in Fort Kent my work area was mainly bounded by Nine Mile Bridge (on the St. John); St.-Pamphile, PQ; Estcourt, PQ; and Allagash village, with an occasional trip to the forest north and south of Eagle (the NE Aroostook version.) Nowadays I occasionally get to our Round Pond (on the Allagash) and Telos (abuts the NW corner of Baxter) tracts. And crossing from Jackman or into St.-Pamphile is the same forest-to-farm experience. The latter is a mill town; 2 spruce-fir mills and a cedar mill process about a half million cords per year, 90%+ from Maine. -
Winter 2020 New England Banter and General Obs
tamarack replied to CapturedNature's topic in New England
Not that I know of. Given Gov. Baxter's "forever wild" dictum, there's no instruments there. It gets some winter use (advance permit needed from Baxter Park staff) and maybe some hikers have taken measurements. Park employees did record a 94" pack at Chimney Pond (about 3,000) 3 years ago for a new state record. AFAIK, Farmington's 84" on 2/28/69 was the old one. -
That's about the same snow as sites in the Jersey Highlands 25-50 miles west of NYC, but many of that area's residents work much closer to Gotham, so culturally the vibe is NYC/Jersey.
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Winter 2020 New England Banter and General Obs
tamarack replied to CapturedNature's topic in New England
Lower elevation than the Presidentials but seen from the south, with no serious peaks in the way, I think it's the most impressive peak east of the Rockies -
On its northern flank, not the southern.
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This, in spades. Exchanging the cool and snowless 1980s for the milder and much snowier 2010's will probably result in the greatest decadal adjustment of 30-year norms since such records have been kept, at least for the Northeast. Edit: NYC averaged 20.7"/yr for the 1980s and 36.6" for the 2010s, an increase of 77%. Those 2 decades are lowest and highest in the Central Park records.
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And you love it!!
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With latitude, BN temps aren't needed. 2/5/2001 25 8 (+1.4) 0.58" 7.0" 2/6/2001 30 23 (+11.5) 0.81" 10.0" 2/10/2005 32 21 (+10.7) 1.34" 15.0" (w/thunder) 2/11/2005 23 16 (+3.6) 0.36 6.0" or next month: 3/8/2018 30 23 (+2.4) 1.90" 19.6" May not (likely won't) get anything like the above, but milder than average isn't doom, at least not until after the equinox.
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Doesn't OTS get followed by a cutter? And so on...
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Winter 2020 New England Banter and General Obs
tamarack replied to CapturedNature's topic in New England
It was lots better where I live now than where we were then in Gardiner - Farmington co-op recorded 83" Jan-April while Gardiner co-op only 43 though we did a little better 3 miles south and 130' higher. -
Farmington's 5 warmest March days in 127 years of record: 83 22/2012 82 21/2012 80 20/2012 79 20/1903 78 18/2012 That heat wrecked some logging roads and stranded thousands of cords on frozen-ground-only yards. Contractors rushed to haul the quality hardwoods as $100 sawlogs would be $5 pulp sticks by the following December. Give me a pattern like that in early May instead, to avoid the oft-suffered 43° misery mist.
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Winter 2020 New England Banter and General Obs
tamarack replied to CapturedNature's topic in New England
2005-06 was a good example here - 45.0" thru Jan 31 then 7.8" after. Less applicable farther south where the mid Feb dump hit. The 12 months Feb 06-Jan 07 brought 26.9", only 30% of average. (Then Mar 07 thru Feb 08 had 178", not quite twice the average.) -
Looks like these totals will be final numbers for SNE. Closing the books DIT's post on the New England Snow thread this morning, predicting no measurable snow anywhere in SNE for Feb-Mar-Apr. (Of course, "hype" is short for "hyperbole.")
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Winter 2020 New England Banter and General Obs
tamarack replied to CapturedNature's topic in New England
11-12? Many folks got their biggest snow from the Octobomb, and though it was kind of a bust here (12-16 verified as 4.5" of 5:1 mush) our biggest was on Nov. 23. -
I've never noted trace amounts of snow on the snow table, unlike cocorahs where every trace is recorded, but some very light but measurable snow has <.005" LE.
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That's because it's not really snow, but very tiny IP (unless the process has changed drastically) and like natural IP the ratio is more like 3:1 than the 10:1 default for flakes.
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Low dews and cooling temps - they'll probably groom the man-made and conditions will be decent. That stuff is almost bulletproof - can remember night skiing at Vernon Valley (NNJ) in late March when daytime temps had been in the 50s. Not the greatest but being a beginner it didn't matter that much to me.
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Slow until it turned on the jets and went up the left exit. Models showing 24-36 hr of continuous SN became 6 hr of +RA almost overnight.
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2" in the foothills. That season had no snows greater than 3.4" thru Feb 9, then 21" with some thunder on 10-11 plus 5 more storms for another 39" thru March 12.