tamarack

Maybe a move to the south? Good for coastal snow, less QPF to the north?

Got down to 10 last night and was up to 18 when flakes began about 7:15. Steady small flakes and 2.0" at 2:15 and my walk to the mailbox had a feel of a somewhat low ratio. In 7 hours, the temp has risen all the way to 20. Noted that GYX has cut back the totals a bit.

GYX 90/50/10 percents for Farmington (and here) are 0.5"/7"/14". Guessing that the models remain far apart. P&C forecast is 3-5 tomorrow and 2-4 tomorrow night.

Had mostly light SN, 1.1" and 0.07" LE, followed by 4 hours of light RA. Total precip of 0.12" was 3rd from lowest of 65 cocorahs reports when I looked at 9:30. November numbers Avg max: 39.7 -2.6 Highest: 51, 8th Avg min: 25.6 +0.9 Lowest: 14, 20th Mean: 32.7 -0.8 Precip: 2.35" -1.80" Wettest: 0.44", 10th Snow: 3.7" -1.2" Greatest: 2.4", 16th November 2025 was characterized by a lack of extremes (unless the modest 0.55" for wettest day was 'extreme'). The max/min spread of 37° is second least (33° in 1998, 50/17) and daily departures got no greater than 7.2° AN or 7.3° BN and only 7 days had 5° AN/BN. (Average for 28 November greatest departures are 14° AN and 13° BN.)

Probably too far north here for the good stuff, but we won't sneer at 3-4".

We're at 2.23", nearly 2" BN, for the 8th BN month this year and 11th of the past 15. Jan-Aug last year was very wet (despite our driest February), then the spigot went down to a trickle. A few flakes drifting by on 25-30 mph gusts, much less than the graupel shower that nearly covered the ground yesterday afternoon.

That lightest gray patch is a bit north of you, and right over me. It's surprising how often modeled snowfall includes that Fryeburg-Danforth hole. Fortunately, it doesn't verify all that often.

Today's low 40s will degrade the 1" cover to "T", with nothing to see for the rest of the week.

Temp reached 40 today after 9 straight maxima in the 30s. Open ground is bare, forested land still white.

We have 10 feet of gutter. It's on the front porch, which is open to the air, and over the front steps. It limits the drip/freeze on the steps, but thaws/freezes do fill it with ice. October here was 1.8° AN and November is currently running 2.0° BN. The November departure will likely be less but will almost certainly stay BN. In 27 snow seasons, 6 have had AN Octobers and BN Novembers. All 6 had AN snow, ranging 90.4" to 142.3", and the average of 108.5" is exactly 20.0" above the current average.

Farther north (Jersey Highlands) we had 7 events of 18-24" from March 1956 thru February 1961, the greatest run of big dumps I've seen anywhere. Five of those were cold powder, with temps low teens to low 20s. Closest is probably Nov 2014 thru March 2018, with 6 storms 15.5-21" plus 2 with 13". A shorter run, Feb 2007 thru Feb 2009, had 4 events 15.5-24.5". Oddly, the snowiest of those 3 winters, 07-08, had nothing over 12.5" and ony 2 in double digits.

We lived about 25 miles northeast from Long Valley. My maternal grandparents had a house in LV (primary home was Glen Ridge) and we would make frequent visits to mow the 3/4-acre lawn (1950s-60s), usually finding 2-3 yellowjacket nests per mowing. Occasionally we'd stop for a feast at Larison's Turkey Farm, long since closed.

I lived in the Jersey Highlands 1950 to 1971, and never saw anywhere near that many oak leaves in the latter half of November. Oaks and Maples were the most common of the many tree species in the forests near home, mid-aged as most land there had been grazed into the late 1800s. Oaks I remember (long before forestry school so some guesswork) were Northern red, black, pin, white, swamp white and where glaciers had scraped the hilltops, chestnut oak. I'm confident that several other oak species were also in the mix.

We had bare ground in December in 2 of 9 at Fort Kent, and even with the sun out, we would drive with the headlights on by 3 PM. In rain, the gloom came even earlier.

The washtub had a bit over 1" ice when I dumped it yesterday (before the ice would get thick enough to split the seams, like our last one), though some was gray ice from Sunday's snow. The old stock pond probably has close to 2" after this morning.