tamarack

And the Grinch is waiting.

'Fraid so - previous flake tardiness record was 11/21/04. That winter had no snowfalls greater than 3.4" thru Feb 9, after which we had 60" in 31 days, finishing with 94", 5" AN.

Where I grew up in NNJ is at 700, probably a couple inches there. Had 0.39" thru 7 AM, about ~0.2" since. Still haven't seen a flake this season.

At 1,800' asl. My NNJ HS (Butler) had a 2-hour delay this morning, probably about 2" there. I've yet to see a flake. Weird wx is fun.

And before here in the Maine foothills? Latest I've had to wait for the season's first flakes is today's date, so a new late start whenever one is seen. We head for SNJ this coming Tuesday and there's a chance that no flakes arrive before then. even BWI may be able to pull some minor accumulation Another 2009-10 on the way? That was the season when they got 7" more than CAR.

GYX overnight shift QPF was 1.5-2 here yesterday, 1-1.5 this morning. Daytime shifts Tues-Wed 0.5-1 both days. Models flipping? Cloudy with a raw wind and low 40s. Hoped the deer would be moving ahead of the storm. If they were, it was elsewhere.

The 2 storms in the first half of Dec 2003 totaled 37", more than half of the season's snowfall. Only one event with more than 5" in Jan-April. Jan '04 had 7 maxima between 1 and -8 but only 7.7" snow/0.57" precip. The -7 max on the 14th was recorded at 9 PM on the 13th; the afternoon max was -11.

Or November 22-23, 1943 in NNE.

Yikes! In the 1950s my mom could buy 4 cartons for that. (Unfortunately. At age 55 after 40 years of 2-3 packs/day, she was diagnosed with emphysema. She quit cold turkey but gradually lost lung function until passing at age 70. Her 2 non-smoking sisters lived into their 90s.)

The past 3 months might be drier than any 3-month period in the 1960s. However, that earlier drought lasted 4 years. NYC numbers: 1963 - 34.28" 5th lowest, only the 4.4" dump in early Nov avoided a new record. 1964 - 32.99" Lowest (at the time) by 0.73", now 2nd 1965 - 26.09" Four years later some VA sites had that much in 5 hours from the remains of Camille. 1966 - Jan-Aug 19.79", only 0.74" more than J-A '65, and considerably warmer (met summer 4.8 hotter). Sept 21, 1966: 5.54" Drought was over though we didn't know it until many months after. GYX precip map this morning shows 1.5-2" for almost all their CWA. Yesterday they were thinking 0.5-1". We'll see. We're heading to SNJ on 11/26, returning 12/3 or 4. Might see flakes there before seeing any here.

Fake cold. We had 3 sunny and calm days after a 12.4" dump. That storm was cold rain at ORH and the lows on 6-8 were 23/18/18 there, 1/-8/-8 here.

The greatest negative departures here since Feb 2023 were Dec 6-8 last year (-13/-19/-14. That said, I had to go back to 12/2018 to find more early Dec cold.

Got you beat by 0.09" Only 0.44" over the past 5 weeks, however.

Families, and there may be as many as 6 pups or more, though they usually get thinned out by fall. Multi-family packs like wolves are uncommon for coyotes. Didn't happen this year, but the usual sequence here would be hearing the pups singing soprano in May then working down to a low alto by September. This morning was 20°+ milder than yesterday's 14.

But very little since late August - many wildfires in the Northeast above Mason-Dixon.