Workable for sure at this time period. Flow as currently modeled is relatively flat with not much ridging in PNA. Euro seems a bit more amplified with this. Something to watch. Until than not much going on. Catch some FROPA and and maybe a Clippah.
Congrats to those cashing in on the 1st winter storm of the season. Cold rain here, mid 30s. Did have a brief period of sleet this AM from that initial lead band.
The differences between the Euro and GFS handling of the upper Midwest shortwave appear to be what’s causing the subtle track differences. GFS has 2 distinct areas of vorticity and the northern one remains stronger longer, while the Euro consolidates all this energy sooner and further south.. There is also a trailing piece of energy that is intensifying as it’s digging east and south that impacts the system as it exits the coast.
It’s really coming down to intensity and how mid-levels act. Euro is just a bit more organized, mitigating any warm air intrusion beyond the south coast, while the GFS brings that further inland about 30 miles.