Baroclinic Zone
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Everything posted by Baroclinic Zone
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52.7F was the high. Currently 50.8F
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3km NAM definitely looks more realistic from ULs to surface. -
Agreed, but we've seen this before where the ULs look good but don't translate down to surface. It's the NAM though so I don't take credence in anything it shows for winter storms.
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Still a hot mess on the surface though, verbatim
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It's making an 18-wheeler right turn to the left.
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We're in the minority. Many seem ready to lose their shit.
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We gonna get the Messenger ?
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For substantial snows >6" , probably.
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But easy to see the whiners.
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That's what I've been seeing as heights lift out ahead of this. Allows the storm to amplify and curl left.
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Just comparing the 06 and 12z RGEM runs and they're virtually the same. Maybe a hair less amplified but nothing noteworthy.
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That's a cold storm on the NAM.
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Late hook left coming it would appear,
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Just wait. Don't do it.
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What is the HRRR long range? Anything beyond 1-2hrs on that model is long range to me. Does it go beyond 48hr?
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GFS will be a day late and a dollar short.
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I don't recall the weather a week ago let alone a storm from god knows when.
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Kentucky Fried Steak?
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Yeah, that's been popping up pretty consistently. Some will be having radar hallucinations thinking the storm is well N&W while we wait for the coastal to take over.
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Gotta say the RGEM has been remarkably steadfast, not waffling too much. Still feel like a track inside the BM is the endgame. We should see the 12z GFS come west inline with other guidance.
